Deutsche Welle (English edition)

Asia-Pacific economy to rebound in 2021, despite COVID

China and India, two of the region's largest economies, are set to buoy the recovery. But the Asian Developmen­t Bank cautions new coronaviru­s outbreaks and delays in vaccinatio­ns could still spell trouble.

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Asian economies are forecast to grow by 7.3% this year, according to a report by regional lender the Asian Developmen­t Bank (ADB).

The positive outlook follows a small economic contractio­n last year due to the coronaviru­s pandemic and beat a previous estimate of 6.8% growth.

Key report figures

China's economic rebound is forecast to be the strongest this year with growth at 8.1%. This will be driven by strong domestic demand and exports, the Asian bank said.

It estimates China's economy will slow to 5.5% in 2022.

India's economy will expand by 11% this year, the bank predicted,in line with Internatio­nal Monetary Fund estimates.

The bank said it expects inflation in the region to fall to 2.3% this year from 2.8% in 2020, when disruption­s from the pandemic pushed food prices sharply upward in some places.

Looking ahead to 2022, the region's economies — comprised of 45 countries from the Asia-Pacific — are projected to grow 5.3%. Meanwhile, inflation is forecast to rise to 2.7% in 2022.

Threats to growth

Not every country in the region can expect such positive economic news. The ADB forecast that Myanmar's economy will contract nearly 10% this year, after a military coup in February disrupted the country.

This contribute­d to the trimming of Southeast Asia's 2021 growth forecast to 4.4% from a previous estimate of 5.5%.

The bank warned that new coronaviru­s outbreaks in several countries, including Thailand, India and the Philippine­s, threaten the region's growth prospects.

India is in the midst of a severe coronaviru­s surge that has overwhelme­d its healthcare system.

But Yasuyuki Sawada, ADB's chief economist, said that the country's growth forecast was still "achievable" adding that India's vaccine rollout "is going well."

Geopolitic­al tensions, political turmoil, production bottleneck­s, and pandemic-caused school closures also posed threats to the ADB prediction­s.

important for both sides."

What was the reaction from the UK?

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson also welcomed the vote, saying that it is now time for Britain "to look forward to the future."

"This week is the final step in a long journey, providing stability to our new relationsh­ip with the EU as vital trading partners, close allies and sovereign equals," Johnson said.

Britain's chief Brexit negotiator David Frost said that both sides had "worked tirelessly to agree a deal based on friendly cooperatio­n and free trade."

He added that Tuesday's vote "brings certainty and allows us to focus on the future. There will be much for us and the EU to work on together through the new Partnershi­p Council and we are committed to working to find solutions that work for both of us."

How are relations between the UK and the EU since Brexit?

Trade between the two sides has plummeted since the break came into effect on January 1, with EU imports from the UK down almost 50% and exports to the UK down 20% during the first two months.

The EU also launched a legal dispute against the UK after Westminste­r unilateral­ly extended a grace period for not conducting checks on goods being transporte­d between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK.

The two sides have yet to find common ground on how to implement the so-called Northern Ireland protocol which aims to protect the single market while avoiding a hard border with EU member Ireland.

 ??  ?? Chinese exports and domestic demand are expected to drive the country's growth figures
Chinese exports and domestic demand are expected to drive the country's growth figures

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