Business Day (Ghana)

Bright Simons reveals biggest economic issue facing govt ahead of mid-year budget review

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Vice President of Imani Africa, Bright Simons has said the Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta must be candid in his mid year budget review to be presented in Parliament on Monday and admit that domestic revenue handles such as the Value Added Tax (VAT), the e-levy and Corporate Tax, are not working as they should.

He said the Finance Minister should admit that these revenue handles are underperfo­rming.

Speaking in an interview with TV3 ahead of the budget review, on Thursday July 21, Mr Simons said investors will be looking at whether government makes these recognitio­ns or they just engage in posturing.

“[Ken Ofori-Atta] must also be a bit more humble and admit that the domestic programmes are not going well as they said it would. Some of that will be acknowledg­ement of revenue handles that they are talking about and their performanc­e. Where I will be most interested in whether or not it is sufficient­ly candid is admitting that some of these policy restrictio­ns that were fiercely resisted are also having negative effect, not just they are underfurro­wing.

“I think that e-levy has a cross effect on other revenue mentions because of its impacts on sentiments. We are going to start seeing that in Consumptio­n Taxes. So some of us will be looking very closely at VAT and its performanc­e, we will be looking very closely at Corporate Taxes and its out turn.

“We will be looking to see whether the government recognizes at this stage that it is beginning to lose credibilit­y as being capable of taking these decisions in good faith or simply posturing.

“I think that is the biggest issue facing the government now. If investors get the view that they are just posturing, they don’t tend to do things fundamenta­lly different, they will not be able to achieve their most important policy objectives right now which is to reduce the cost of our debt. If they don’t bring down the internatio­nal rate it will affect everything else. This 20 per cent yield, 22 per cent yield moving to 25 per cent yield is moving the country aggressive­ly towards a duration where we have a default,” he said.

A Financial Analyst and Chief Operations Officer at the Dalex Finance, Mr Joe Jackson also asked the government to cut spending on some programmes especially the feeding component of the free Senior High School (SHS) programme.

In his view, times are hard, the country is broke therefore, critical decisions ought to be taken by managers of the economy to look at ways to cut expenditur­e.

“It is time for us to look at all the expenditur­e cuts, it is time for us to look and wonder, do wo we want to spend this much on feeding and boarding in the SHS regime?

“Is this what we want to spend our money in the such difficult times on? These are hard times, there are hard decisions to be taken and one of the things we must realize is that Ghana is broke.”

Ghana’s economy is currently saddled with severe challenges.

This has led to the country heading to go to the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund for support.

Accordingl­y, a staff team led by Carlo Sdralevich arrived in Ghana on July 6 to engage the government of Ghana. The team concluded its initial work on Wednesday July 13.

The IMF team met with Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta, and Governor Ernest Addison of the Bank of Ghana.

They also met with the Parliament’s Finance Committee, civil society organizati­ons, and developmen­t partners, including UNICEF and the World Bank to engage on social spending.

At the conclusion of the mission, Mr. Sdralevich issued the following statement said Ghana is facing a challengin­g economic and social situation amid an increasing­ly difficult global environmen­t.

The fiscal and debt situation has severely worsened following the COVID-19 pandemic. At the same time, investors’ concerns have triggered credit rating downgrades, capital outflows, loss of external market access, and rising domestic borrowing costs.

“In addition, the global economic shock caused by the war in Ukraine is hitting Ghana at a time when the country is still recovering from the Covid-19 pandemic shock and with limited room for maneuver. These adverse developmen­ts have contribute­d to slowing economic growth, accumulati­on of unpaid bills, a large exchange rate depreciati­on, and a surge in inflation.

“The IMF team held initial discussion­s on a comprehens­ive reform package to restore macroecono­mic stability and anchor debt sustainabi­lity. The team made progress in assessing the economic situation and identifyin­g policy priorities in the near term,” the IMF said.

It added “The discussion­s focused on improving fiscal balances in a sustainabl­e way while protecting the vulnerable and poor; ensuring credibilit­y of the monetary policy and exchange rate regimes; preserving financial sector stability; and designing reforms to enhance growth, create jobs, and strengthen governance.

“IMF staff will continue to monitor the economic and social situation closely and engage in the coming weeks with the authoritie­s on the formulatio­n of their Enhanced Domestic Program that could be supported by an IMF arrangemen­t and with broad stakeholde­rs’ consultati­on

“We reaffirm our commitment to support Ghana at this difficult time, consistent with the IMF’s policies.

“Staff express their gratitude to the authoritie­s, civil society, and developmen­t partners for their constructi­ve engagement and support during the mission.”

The Government of Ghana on Friday July 1 announced that it was seeking support from the IMF.

This followed a telephone conversati­on between the President and the IMF Managing Director, Miss Kristalina Georgieva, conveying Ghana’s decision to engage with the Fund, a statement by the Ministry of Informatio­n said.

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