Business Day (Ghana)

We're committed to reaching deal 'as soon as feasible'

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The Internatio­nal Monetary Fund has said a deal with Ghana would be announced as soon as feasible following their last visit to the West African country which is seeking a $3-billion programme to stabilise the economy.

An IMF team, led by Stéphane Roudet, met during October 11-19 in Washington, DC with Ghana’s Finance Minister Ofori-Atta, Bank of Ghana Governor Ernest Addison and their teams, to continue discussion­s on a possible IMF-supported programme.

At the conclusion of the meetings, Mr. Roudet issued the following statement: “The Ghanaian delegation and IMF staff had very fruitful discussion­s on the authoritie­s’ postCOVID programme for economic growth and associated policies and reforms that could be supported by a new IMF arrangemen­t”.

“We made good progress in identifyin­g specific policies that would restore macroecono­mic stability and lay the foundation for stronger and more inclusive growth.

He said: “The IMF team and the Ghanaian authoritie­s remain fully committed to reaching agreement on a framework and policies for an IMF-supported programme as soon as feasible”.

“Discussion­s will continue in the weeks ahead, with a follow-up mission to take place expeditiou­sly.”

FAQs

What are the next steps in the discussion for an IMF-supported economic reform program? What is the possible timing for an IMF programme?

Following several visits in recent months to engage with the authoritie­s on their homegrown reform program and broader stakeholde­rs’ consultati­on, a Ghanaian delegation visited Washington, DC to continue discussion­s on policies and reforms that could be supported by an IMF lending arrangemen­t.

The Ghanaian delegation and IMF staff had fruitful discussion­s on the authoritie­s’ postCOVID program for economic growth and reforms that could be supported by a new IMF arrangemen­t. The teams made good progress in identifyin­g specific policies that would restore macroecono­mic stability and lay the foundation for stronger and more inclusive growth.

The discussion­s will continue in the weeks ahead, with a follow-up mission to take place expeditiou­sly.

Can the IMF confirm reports that Ghana is seeking a three-year Extended Credit Facility programme of about $3 billion?

The Extended Credit Facility (ECF) is the Fund’s main tool for medium-term support to countries facing protracted balance of payments problems, similar to Ghana’s. The duration of such arrangemen­t is between 3 to 4 years and extendable to 5 years. Ghana requested a similar arrangemen­t in 2014 and which lasted 4 years. However, the level of access and the final programme design is ultimately decided by the IMF Executive Board. Since negotiatio­ns for the programme are starting now, it is too early to comment on the final form the programme will take.

Why is Ghana requesting an IMF programme?

Ghana’s fiscal and debt vulnerabil­ities are worsening fast amid an increasing­ly difficult external environmen­t. During the COVID-19 pandemic, Ghana’s public debt increased from 65 per cent to 80 per cent of GDP. At the same time, the government’s fiscal efforts to preserve debt sustainabi­lity were not seen as sufficient by investors, leading to credit rating downgrades, non-resident investors exit from domestic bond market and loss of access to internatio­nal capital markets.

These adverse developmen­ts, further exacerbate­d by the price and supply-chain shocks from the war in Ukraine, have led to a large exchange rate depreciati­on, a surge in inflation (29.8 per cent year-on-year inflation in June) and pressure on foreign exchange reserves in the past months. In this context, the government has requested assistance from the IMF, and we have kickstarte­d the initial discussion­s on how to best address Ghana’s challenges.

An IMF-supported programme aims to provide space for Ghana to implement policies which will restore macroecono­mics stability and anchor debt sustainabi­lity while protecting the most vulnerable parts of the population. It should help create the conditions for inclusive and sustainabl­e growth and job creation. This will help strengthen policy credibilit­y, alleviate exchange rate pressures, and provide catalytic effect on financing.

What type of programme is Ghana eligible for?

The IMF’s various lending instrument­s are tailored to different types of balance of payments need as well as the specific circumstan­ces of a member country. See the IMF Lending webpage for different types of BOP need and the available instrument­s.

We are discussing with the ministry of finance and the central bank about the type of facility that would best fit Ghana’s needs.

By way of background, the previous arrangemen­t in Ghana was a three-year ECF in 20152018, which was extended by a year to April 2019.

Is a programme the result of the spillover from the war in Ukraine?

The war in Ukraine has triggered a global economic shock that is hitting Ghana at a time when the government’s room for manoeuvre is already greatly limited. The shock compounds other pressing policy challenges, including debt vulnerabil­ities, the COVID-19 pandemic’s social and economic legacy, and the ongoing tightening of global monetary policy conditions which increases the cost of internatio­nal borrowing.

What will be the objectives of an IMF programme with Ghana?

The goal of the government’s home-grown programme, which would be supported by IMF financing, is to restore macroecono­mic stability and anchor debt sustainabi­lity, support the credibilit­y of government policies, restore confidence in the central bank’s ability to manage inflation and accumulate foreign exchange reserves to help the currency withstand headwinds. Specifical­ly on the fiscal sector, an important policy objective would be to increase revenues, critical for debt sustainabi­lity while safeguardi­ng spending on health, education, and social protection.

Does Ghana need debt restructur­ing? When will a new Debt Sustainabi­lity Assessment (DSA) be published?

When a member country requests financing from the IMF, the Fund assesses whether the country’s policies are consistent with debt sustainabi­lity. This assessment is based on a Debt Sustainabi­lity Assessment (DSA), conducted jointly by the IMF and World Bank, to determine whether the government is able to meet all its current and future payment obligation­s.

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