Geopo­lit­i­cal poker

Kathimerini English - - Front Page - BY ALEXIS PAPACHELAS

con­cern­ing Cyprus puts him on edge. Greece and Cyprus’s over­ture to Egypt is a red flag for Er­do­gan. Is­raeli re­la­tions are another headache for the Turk­ish pres­i­dent after he tor­pe­doed a close strate­gic re­la­tion­ship that took decades to de­velop. The ques­tion is: how far can Er­do­gan go and who could stop him? US Pres­i­dent Barack Obama’s re­la­tion­ship with the Turk­ish leader could not be de­scribed as good.Nev­er­the­less, de­spite his an­noy­ance with re­gard to Turk­ish games in Syria, among oth­ers, Obama feels that he needs Ankara given de­vel­op­ments in the broader re­gion. In the past, when a cri­sis erupted in the East­ern Mediter­ranean or the Aegean we knew that the White House would in­ter­vene and Ankara would take the transat­lantic con­ver­sa­tion se­ri­ously. Nowa­days we are less cer­tain of the lat­ter. Mean­while, it is doubt­ful that Europe will in­ter­vene in any de­ci­sive way. At the last EU sum­mit, Ger­man Chan­cel­lor An­gela Merkel said that ev­ery coun­try is en­ti­tled to its EEZ but beyond that there was no in­di­ca­tion of real support such as that ex­tended to Ukraine. NATO is another fac­tor to con­sider with its sec­re­tary gen­eral main­tain­ing the mid­dle ground. But what will hap­pen if Ankara es­ca­lates the ten­sion fur­ther? There are those who be­lieve that Is­rael will in­ter­vene, though Turkey-Is­rael ob­servers be­lieve it highly un­likely un­less Turkey threat­ens Is­raeli in­ter­ests di­rectly. Greece is do­ing the right thing by con­duct­ing be-

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