Facts and scenarios
a far-sighted attitude toward Turkey’s relations with the European Union. But now it won’t be too long before a breakdown occurs, and Greece will be the first to feel it due to proximity. Washington is going through a transitional phase – of the kind it has never experienced before. Such periods are full of dangers, because the hands of the outgoing president “are tied.” This is even more true in this case of complete regime change in the US capital, which has caused uncertainty and questions worldwide. Finally, President Erdogan seems to have forged strong ties with Russian strongman Vladimir Putin – another important factor. Could this Turkey-under-pressure attempt to “export” its problems to the West? It’s best not to discard this kind of scenario as we have already entered a period in which the impossible might start to look possible – on an international scale. Erdogan has overstepped the mark – but so far only in words. He could reopen the gates for the mass flow of refugees and migrants toward Greece and Europe to start up again. Absolutely no one – including our European partners – has a solution for this sort of scenario. Any solution emerging in this case would be the result of huge pressure at that particular moment.