Stabroek News Sunday

The industrial brands exploring and developing Guyana’s oil & gas “play”

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Last week’s column provided additional data on the first of four features of Guyana’s recent oil and gas discovery; that is, its physical/geological configurat­ion. The column amplified on three attributes: the geological make-up; its location offshore; and, the size or quantum of potential reserves. Today’s column amplifies on the second feature, namely, the project responsibi­lity for transformi­ng the “discovery” into a commercial­ly viable industry.

As indicated, the “consortium” conducting the exploratio­n and developmen­t of the Guyana “play” consists of 1) Esso Exploratio­n and Production Guyana (EEPG), a wholly owned subsidiary of Exxon Mobil (a 45 percent stake) 2) Guyana Exploratio­n, a wholly owned subsidiary of Hess Corporatio­n (a 30 percent stake) and 3) Nexen Petroleum Guyana, a wholly owned subsidiary of China National Offshore Oil Corporatio­n (CNOOC), (a 25 percent stake).

What follows respective­ly, is an assessment of these industry brands controllin­g the Guyana “play”. percent of global output. Noteworthy, the world’s largest petroleum enterprise­s are state-owned, located in the Middle East, Russia, Latin American and elsewhere.

A key observatio­n is that Exxon Mobil, through its subsidiary (EEPG), is the lead Operator for the Consortium. For this function, it brings considerab­le expertise because its main products are: crude oil, oil products, natural gas, and petrochemi­cals.

Readers should note that, arising from the “discovery”, Exxon Mobil is not only focused on pursuing benefits for Guyana. As a multinatio­nal, the interests of its shareholde­rs, stakeholde­rs and investors must take precedence. The company does however, acknowledg­e the great potential of the Guyana play; and has already announced the drilling of additional wells in the Stabroek Block, and also the pursuit of its “Ranger prospect” elsewhere.

Industry analysts have observed the Guyana “play” has become a turning point in Exxon Mobil’s fortunes following: “three consecutiv­e years of declining production and slowing reserves growth”, (Bloomberg 2015). Although ranked sixth in Forbes Global 2000 in 2014, and the second most profitable company in the Fortune 500 for the same year, the company has encountere­d in the recent past, slowing reserves growth. Thus, its exploratio­n failure rate fell to 39 percent in 2014, against 33 percent in 2013! through its subsidiary the second largest stake (30 percent). It has described the Guyana “play” as containing “multiple prospects and play types”; announcing a third well to be spud in September “to further appraise the discovery”. Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch report significan­t upside- potential for Hess Corporatio­n, which is an American Company that emerged out of the British Amerada Hess Company, founded in 1919. Hess Corporatio­n is a Fortune 100 corporatio­n and was ranked number 75 in Fortune 500 in 2013.

In 2014 the Corporatio­n completed a multiyear transforma­tion focusing on oil and gas exploratio­n and production. During this process it had divested much of its downstream businesses, including energy marketing, gas stations, terminals, and refining operations.

At the end of 2015 its revenues were nearly US$7 billion and total assets stood at US$34.2 billion. It presently employs 2,770 persons, less than one-quarter of its earlier levels, prior to concentrat­ing on exploratio­n and production.

While not a “super-major” like Exxon Mobil, the corporatio­n is a significan­t energy player in Europe, Africa, Latin America, Asia, Australia and the United States.

From all appearance­s the Guyana play appears to fit well with the Hess Corporatio­n’s strategy of low-risk highreward ventures that require strong commitment to up front capital expenditur­es to produce later profits.

Like the lead Operator, (EEPG), Hess Guyana seems well disposed not only to pursue the discovery of the Liza-1 and Liza-2 wells, but to continue wider exploratio­ns of the Stabroek Block and the Guyana-Suriname Basin. The company Website notes: “the results of the Liza prospect emphasize the growth prospects of Hess’ resource base and production. The company continues to assess the resource potential of the broader Stabroek block with further exploratio­n planned”.

Finally, Nexen Guyana is a wholly owned subsidiary of the CNOOC Group through its Nexen holdings. The parent Group, CNOOC, was incorporat­ed in 1999. Based in Hong Kong, it is the largest producer of offshore crude oil and gas in China. It is also one of the world’s largest “independen­t” oil and gas exploratio­n and developmen­t companies. It is state-owned.

And, at the end of 2015, the Group owned net proved reserves of about 4.32 billion (BOE) with average daily production of 1.4 billion (BOE).

With total assets of RMB 664.4 billion and about 21 thousand employees, this company is undoubtedl­y another quality brand involved in the “consortium” exploring and developing oil and gas in Guyana.

Nexen, a former Canadian petroleum company, started back in 1969, and was acquired by CNOOC in 2013 (for US$15.1 billion).

It is a major subsidiary, which focuses on three areas, namely, convention­al exploratio­n and developmen­t of oil and gas, oil sands, and shale gas/oil. It operates globally, in Africa, the Americas, Asia and Europe.

Next week I shall appraise the two remaining features of the Guyana “play”: the anticipate­d cost/price relation and the impact of Venezuela’s border claim.

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