Stabroek News

Reality is about probabilit­y

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Dear Editor, Mr Adams, the Developmen­t Officer, and Mr Grave, the Chief Executive Officer, both expressed publicly a desire to change selection eligibilit­y, so that the West Indies cricket team can once again be selected from the best cricketers in the region. Since their respective announceme­nts, three series have been played, and a major dispute caused by the negligence of the Chairman in not determinin­g the salary category of the region’s best player before demoting him, has been resolved, yet another kiddies team has been selected for a 5-day series in England, to be played during the period in which profession­al 20-over cricket is played in the region.

It is notable that shortly after the announceme­nts by Adams and Grave, and the resolution of the dispute referred to above, Browne, the chairman of selectors, expressed his concern about either the fairness or the good sense, or both, of leaving out from the touring side, the young players who had been given opportunit­ies in the three series also referred to above. At that time I reminded the readers of the foolishnes­s of bringing in as many as four rookies all at the same time if the intention were to ‘blood’ youngsters, since the same objective could be attained by playing all four, but not all at the same time in the same matches.

Having the profession­al 20-over competitio­n played at the same time as the 5-day internatio­nal series is obviously not a good idea, because it means that fans would not see the best players engaged in both the long and shorter forms, and the players who are not available for the shorter forms will suffer an unnecessar­y loss of earnings.

The implementa­tion of decisions is often as important as making those decisions, and as a great economist once wrote: “In the long run we are all dead”. Why on earth do we not have two or three veterans in the squad to England? The last time we toured England Chanderpau­l and Samuels were our most successful batsmen, and the youth all failed. Reality is about probabilit­y. I know there are lots of West Indians literally praying and hoping that the youth will excel all at once so that we won’t need the ‘mercenarie­s’ as our best players are often unfairly described. That is possible, no doubt; but betting men,who are usually realists (of sorts) will always place their money on a blend of youth and experience over youth only. The reason, of course, is the law of probabilit­y rather than a strong belief in possibilit­y.

I hope I am wrong, but I have the feeling that the Chairman of Selectors is the culprit. If so he must be stopped in his tracks. At least there was some rational basis for having confidence in Lloyd. Yours faithfully, Romain Pitt

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