Stabroek News

Assumption­s underlying cash transfer have to be carefully assessed

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Dear Editor,

It is with pleasure that I read of the discussion­s concerning cash distributi­on and am pleased that I was able to provide some inspiratio­n to Dr. Thomas for pushing this issue. In reference to the proposal I presented in February 2018 via the letter “How much is it really worth?” I would caution those utilizing the $1M annual figure to relook at the assumption­s that establishe­d the base of my estimate for each household. Although the range is wide and the suggested number of $3200 per day per household or approximat­ely $1M per year per household is highlighte­d, some of the key assumption­s to consider are the estimated total base of oil, the 50% split with government needs prior to disburseme­nt and the life of the industry. As I had mentioned recently, via a letter at the beginning of the month “It has become apparent we need to relocate our coastal population”, the long term strategic plan for utilizatio­n of the sovereign wealth fund needs to be establishe­d with the following underlying key priorities to better outline the investment posture of the entire economic portfolio:

1. Relocation of the long term affected on the coast, 2. Reestablis­hment of a sustainabl­e capital and 3. The defence of current key assets along the area that will be impacted by climate change over the long term.

The establishm­ent of the supporting strategic plan will allow for clarificat­ion and confirmati­on as to how the funds should be split between private distributi­on and government needs. Thus resulting in the range of income that each household could benefit from over the life of the oil industry.

It would be my pleasure to help a bipartisan parliament­ary group develop such a long term strategic plan in the near future.

Yours faithfully, Jamil Changlee

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