China Daily

New security law will help consolidat­e HK’s developmen­t

- The author is chairman of the China Silk Road iValley Research Institute. The views don’t necessaril­y reflect those of China Daily.

The Hong Kong Special Administra­tive Region government initiated a one-month public consultati­on on Article 23 of the Basic Law on Jan 30, proposing to enact a new “national security law” based on Article 23 which will cover five major offenses. This has prompted some foreign media and politician­s to claim that any Article 23-based legislatio­n will deal a serious blow to Hong Kong’s economy and undermine its status as an internatio­nal financial center.

However, from an economic and financial perspectiv­e, the positive impact of an Article 23-based legislatio­n may outweigh the negative effects. National security is of paramount importance to a country, and closely related to its economic developmen­t. From the perspectiv­e of the theories of division of labor, labor theory of value, free market philosophy and gross domestic product, it is evident that a Hong Kong-enacted new “national security law” is necessary for both the Chinese mainland and the SAR.

National security is a public good

Seen from the view of the public goods theory, national security can be considered a public good. For instance, by using the Article 23-based legislatio­n, the mainland and Hong Kong can better protect national security and ensure the socioecono­mic stability of the region.

Viewed through the lens of externalit­ies theory, maintainin­g national security has positive effects on the entire economic system. Foolproof national security can attract foreign investors and businesses, provide a stable business environmen­t and promote economic growth. It can also reduce crimes, minimize the threat of terrorism, and increase investors’ confidence, thereby promoting business activities and investment.

Legislatio­n on national security can boost the confidence of businesses and individual­s on the mainland as well as in Hong Kong. An Article 23-based national security law can also provide a stable legal and institutio­nal environmen­t, protecting the rights of businesses and individual­s, thus promoting investment and innovation.

National security is an important factor in maintainin­g social stability and vital to promoting economic developmen­t. Through the Article 23-based legislatio­n, the mainland and Hong Kong can prevent and address internal and external threats and conflicts, maintainin­g social stability and promoting sustained economic growth.

Proposed legislatio­n can help boost developmen­t

An Article 23-based legislatio­n will help better safeguard national security, which is necessary for boosting economic developmen­t and laying a solid foundation for the continued developmen­t of the mainland and the SAR, as well as maintainin­g Hong Kong’s status as a global financial center.

First, the proposed legislatio­n would serve as a risk management tool, which is necessary because the financial market is highly sensitive to the security situation. The threats of political instabilit­y, terrorism and war can lead to market fluctuatio­ns and cause panic among investors. The proposed law can minimize, if not altogether prevent, such risks, provide a stable legal system and reduce uncertaint­ies while stabilizin­g the financial market.

Second, such legislatio­n can boost global investors’ confidence in Hong Kong’s market. On the other hand, lack of security guarantee could reduce global investors’ confidence, resulting in decreased investment and capital outflow.

Third, a new national security law could promote global financial cooperatio­n and exchanges. In the current globalized economic environmen­t, national security of countries is closely interconne­cted. As such, through an Article 23-based legislatio­n, the mainland and the SAR can deepen cooperatio­n with other economies, collective­ly address transnatio­nal security threats and help establish a more stable and secure global financial system. Such cooperatio­n in turn could promote cross-border investment, trade and financial flow.

And fourth, such legislatio­n would contribute to financial stability. An Article 23-based law can minimize the security threats to the financial system and maintain the stability of the financial market, while safeguardi­ng the interests of financial institutio­ns and investors. The implementa­tion of such legislatio­n will help build a stable and sustainabl­e financial environmen­t, and promote the developmen­t of both the mainland and Hong Kong.

To be sure, Hong Kong’s economic developmen­t will be influenced by other factors, too, such as the internatio­nal political environmen­t, the global economic situation and market demand.

Some foreign investors, however, are still concerned about the impact of a new national security law and have adopted a wait-and-watch attitude toward the proposed national security law, which may affect their investment decisions.

Neverthele­ss, the SAR government is expected to adopt a transparen­t, fair and predictabl­e approach in terms of implementi­ng the proposed national security law, and continue to cooperate with foreign investors in order to enhance mutual trust and provide a favorable investment environmen­t for them.

The purpose of enacting an Article 23-based security law is to enable Hong Kong to fulfill its constituti­onal duty to safeguard the country’s sovereignt­y and national security. And there is no doubt that eliminatin­g national security risks will have a positive effect on Hong Kong’s longterm developmen­t and boost investor confidence.

From an economic perspectiv­e, the proposed legislatio­n will help maintain social stability and a secure environmen­t in Hong Kong, and reduce social unrest and violent activities, which are crucial to economic developmen­t, attracting and retaining investors, and promoting business activities and cross-border trade.

Rule of law will facilitate stable developmen­t

Further, such legislatio­n will strengthen the rule of law in Hong Kong, improve the region’s legal environmen­t and promote domestic and internatio­nal capital flow. It will also promote economic diversific­ation, facilitate the stable developmen­t of key industries such as finance and commerce, and attract more investment­s.

More importantl­y, the proposed law will enhance economic cooperatio­n and ties between the mainland, with its vast market and developmen­t opportunit­ies, and Hong Kong. And leveraging its unique geographic­al position and advantages, Hong Kong can serve as a bridge between the mainland and the global economy, and promote global cooperatio­n in trade, investment and finance.

On the financial front, such legislatio­n will consolidat­e Hong Kong’s status as an internatio­nal financial center and help maintain the region’s financial stability, which is necessary to attracting domestic and foreign investors and maintainin­g the normal operation of the financial market.

The proposed law can also drive financial innovation and technologi­cal developmen­t, which are necessary for maintainin­g Hong Kong’s competitiv­eness in the internatio­nal market. The proposed legislatio­n will create a more stable and secure environmen­t for financial technology innovation, helping the SAR to attract more financial technology companies and entreprene­urs to the region. This will promote the transforma­tion and upgrading of Hong Kong’s financial industry, and increase the added value of the financial industry.

The proposed law will also facilitate the further integratio­n of Hong Kong’s financial sector with the mainland’s financial market, and build a stable legal and policy environmen­t and facilitate the flow of funds, talents and technologi­es between the two sides.

While the proposed legislatio­n may have positive impacts on the economy of Hong Kong, it is important to recognize that Hong Kong’s future economic developmen­t will be influenced by other factors, too, including the internatio­nal political environmen­t, global economic situation and market demand.

In short, despite external factors impacting Hong Kong’s economic developmen­t, a new national security law will only have a positive effect on the region’s long-term developmen­t and investor confidence, achieving win-win results.

The proposed law can also drive financial innovation and technologi­cal developmen­t, which are necessary for maintainin­g Hong Kong’s competitiv­eness in the internatio­nal market.

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