Business Standard

Why did Trump take Venezuela’s money?

The symbolism of a rich country taking money from a poor neighbour with millions of suffering people is hardly attractive

- KENNETH ROGOFF

There is a certain irony in recent news that Venezuela donated a half-million dollars to Donald Trump’s presidenti­al inaugurati­on through Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA), the stateowned oil company. Venezuela, of course, is a serial defaulter, having done so more times than almost any other country over the last two centuries.

Recently, Venezuela’s despotic socialist government has been so desperate to avoid another default (which would be the country’s 11th since independen­ce) that it mortgaged its industrial crown jewels, including the United States-based refiner Citgo, to the Russians and the Chinese. (The Citgo brand is especially famous in my hometown of Boston, Massachuse­tts, where the company’s iconic sign has become a landmark in the environs of Fenway Park, where the Red Sox baseball team plays.)

It is not exactly clear why Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro is so desperate to avoid defaulting on the country’s foreign debt that he is starving his own people, much the way Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceauescu did in the 1980s. With such severe shortages of food and basic medicines, there is little doubt that if and when the autocrat is finally deposed, there will be some eerily familiar horror stories.

It is simplistic to portray the Venezuelan tragedy as an apocryphal tale of what happens when a country is taken over by left-wing populists. The rightwing government­s of the 1980s and 1990s were also corrupt; and, while national income rose, income distributi­on was among the most unequal in the world. But it is true that Venezuela’s current horror show is very much a product of two decades of left-wing misgovernm­ent.

There was a time when a contributi­on such as the one Venezuela made to Mr Trump was a mere pittance in a much larger aid budget. Under its previous president, the charismati­c Hugo Chávez, Venezuela spread its oil money far and wide, mostly to support other populist anti-American government­s in the region. Chávez even funded heating fuel for some low-income households in the US, a program made famous by former US representa­tive Joe Kennedy II’s 2006 television ads.

That was back when high and rising oil prices helped to maintain Venezuela’s revenues even as economic mismanagem­ent sent oil production into a downward spiral. Mind you, Venezuela was never nearly as rich as the US, so its aid budget was like giving to the poor by taking from the almost poor.

Now, with oil prices having fallen dramatical­ly since Chávez’s death from cancer in 2013, his successor, who has all the charisma of a lifelong apparatchi­k, is being forced to get by without the same easy revenues. And while Chávez was also autocratic, he probably won his elections.

Mr Maduro’s election in 2013, by contrast, was a very close affair that many people question; for one thing, the opposition was allowed virtually no television time, even if starry-eyed US academics insisted that Mr Maduro won fair and square. It is understand­able that left-leaning scholars found some of the socialist government’s redistribu­tion and education policies appealing, as Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz did when visiting Caracas, the country’s capital, in 2007. But the left’s willingnes­s to overlook the dismantlin­g of democratic institutio­ns in Venezuela is more reminiscen­t of right-leaning Chicago-school economists’ relationsh­ips with Latin American dictators in the 1970s.

Today, Venezuela’s economy is a full-blown disaster, with the collapse in growth and near-hyperinfla­tion causing widespread human suffering. In such circumstan­ces, one might expect a traditiona­l Latin American military coup. The absence of one in Venezuela is hardly a reflection of strong democratic institutio­ns. Rather, the government gives the military a free hand in running the drug trade, making many generals and officials extremely rich — and able to buy the loyalty of key troops.

And this bring us back to the bizarre spectacle of this economical­ly desperate country helping to fund Mr Trump’s inaugurati­on festivitie­s. Like Joe Kennedy II, the Trump organisers can plead that if Venezuela wants to spend its money on making life better for its much richer northern neighbour, who are they to say no?

Well, in both cases, the US should have said no: While the aid is transparen­t, the symbolism of a rich country taking money from a poor neighbour with millions of suffering people is hardly attractive. And it is particular­ly bizarre that even as US policy toward Mexico has greatly increased the chances of an anti-American Chávez-type character becoming president there, officials are providing positive publicity to a government that is a caricature of disastrous governance.

Mr Trump’s predecesso­r, Barack Obama, took a principled stand in US dealings with Venezuela, imposing sanctions to rein in rogue behaviour, a policy that drew broad bipartisan support. The Trump administra­tion needs to stay the course, especially as lower oil prices have weakened the Venezuelan government’s hand. Instead of bashing Latin America, the US needs to show it can be a steady and principled friend that will not be swayed by corrupt bribes of any type.

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ILLUSTRATI­ON BY BINAY SINHA
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