Business Standard

Four companies that may buck the trend

- MUDAR PATHERYA The author is a stock market writer, tracking corporate earnings and investor psychology to gauge where markets are not headed

At a time when the markets appear nervous, it would be advisable to look to companies that reported attractive growth during the first quarter of the current financial year in the hope the trend extends itself.

This column reviews stocks that caught my attention, warranting a closer scrutiny when they announce their second quarter results.

Camson Biotech: For long, those who bought into the stock lived on hope. It appears their patience might start paying off. Revenues have transforme­d: From ~2.05 crore in the first quarter of 2016-17 to ~ 11.27 crore in the first quarter of the current financial year. Correspond­ingly, the bottom line has evolved: From a company that reported net loss in every quarter of the last financial year (aggregate annual loss of ~ 22.93 crore), to finally succeeded in posting profit during the first quarter of the current financial year. What I like is an Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciati­on and amortisati­on) margin in excess of 40 per cent and an interest cover of a shade below 4x in the first quarter of the turnaround.

Camson Seeds: A similar story appears to be playing out. Most seed companies are kharif- driven, so much of what they earn is reflected in their first two quarters (subsequent­ly a holding operation where losses need to be minimised). The company logged lower revenues in the first quarter of the current financial year (~7.41 crore), compared to the correspond­ing period of the previous year (~9.74 crore) but transforme­d from a net loss of ~1 crore to a profit of ~1.50 crore, indicating a change in corporate strategy. Interest outflow was virtually steady (though technicall­y one would have liked to see it lower on account of lower revenues, correspond­ing to a lower working capital outlay); interest cover was comfortabl­y a shade below 4x.

MIRC Electronic­s: At a time when the Korean twins are virtually dominating the country’s consumer electronic­s space, the sustained turnaround of MIRC comes as a pleasant surprise. There are various ways of appraising the company’s first quarter pre-tax profit of ~4.50 crore: One, it is the second successive profit quarter; the company reported larger pretax profits in the past two quarters than the losses of the previous three combined. Waiting eagerly for the second quarter results (which may be affected by goods and services tax or GST), though one must try and comprehend the optimism of people who have priced this stock in excess of ~550 crore in one of the most competitiv­e sectors of this country.

WPIL: There is something positive transpirin­g at this Kolkatabas­ed pumps manufactur­er. Check revenues across the past five quarters: ~37 crore – ~58 crore – ~66 crore – ~102 crore – ~73 crore (the decline could be ascribed to a seasonal effect). Ebitda has strengthen­ed from ~6.17 crore to ~11.79 crore across the terminal quarters; interest has increased by a mere ~3 lakh during this period, strengthen­ing interest cover.

There will be something to keep one busy if the market weakens further.

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