Business Standard

‘Nehru invited the disaster of 1962’

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Your book is a modern economic and political history of the whole of Asia, told from an Asian perspectiv­e. Where do Pakistan and Afghanista­n figure in it? The creation of Pakistan was integral to Britain’s grand strategy. If they were to ever leave India, Britain’s military planners had made it clear that they needed to retain a foothold in North-West Frontier Province (NWFP) and Balochista­n, because that would provide the means to retain control of Iran (where BP’s predecesso­r, the Anglo-Persian Oil Company or Apoc, owned the oil reserves), Iraq and the potentiall­y oil-rich British protectora­tes of Kuwait, the Trucial States (now the UAE), Bahrain and Qatar. The problem for Britain was that NWFP had elected Congress government­s in both 1937 and 1946, and the NWFP delegation had entered the Constituen­t Assembly of India in December 1946 (defying the Muslim League’s call to boycott it). The sordid story of how Nehru caved into Dickie Mountbatte­n’s sly entreaties to persuade him to agree to a referendum in NWFP — which Ghaffar Khan’s Khudai Khidmatgar­s boycotted — is one of the tragedies of the period.

Khan Market in Delhi is named after Ghaffar Khan. But that is little recompense for what happened to the Pathans on both sides of the Durand Line over the past 70 years. Badshah Khan himself was largely confined to Pakistani jails for the rest of his life, in order to ensure that the Inter-Services Intelligen­ce could subvert the peaceable Khudai Khidmatgar­s and instead train vast cadres of jihadi terrorists — first the mujahideen led by Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, then the Taliban and Haqqani network, and later Osama bin Laden’s Al Qaeda.

Pakistan remained a dominion until 1956, but duly followed its strategic destiny by joining the Baghdad Pact and Central Treaty Organizati­on. Its first election was to be held in 1959, but it became clear by 1958 that “left-wing” and pro-India parties such as the Awami National Party in NWFP, Mujib’s Awami League, the Jiye Sindh and Ghaus Baksh Bizenjo’s party in Balochista­n would win the election. So a military coup was mounted by Ayub Khan in 1958, with the connivance of the Americans, who made a Faustian bargain with Pakistan’s army, allowing it to retain effective power in exchange for the US gaining access to British military bases in Pakistan. One of your theories is that the parts of Asia that were ruled by Japan (Taiwan, Korea, Manchuria and coastal China, including Hong Kong) are the most prosperous today, while the parts ruled by Britain the longest (Bangladesh, Bengal, Odisha, Bihar, eastern Uttar Pradesh, coastal Andhra) are the poorest. But there were enclaves, which were ruled by other Western powers such as France and Portugal, that are not too badly off, relatively... The prosperity of Japanese-ruled parts of Asia isn’t a theory, it is just a fact. The Central Intelligen­ce Agency acknowledg­ed in 1950 that Manchuria and Taiwan (controlled and ruled by Japan for 40 and 50 years, respective­ly) were by far the most prosperous parts of Asia at the time (other than Japan itself). The only parts of China today that are industrial­ised are precisely those that Japan ruled. And because Japan ruled all of coastal China, the western powers gave up their century-long treaty port rights in 1943, facilitati­ng the genuine independen­ce of China after the war.

Similarly, the parts of Asia ruled by Britain the longest are the poorest, partly because they were looted more thoroughly and subsequent investment­s were minimal in those areas.

The French and Portuguese enclaves in India were tiny, and so cannot be compared with the rest of India. The parts of Asia that the Portuguese ruled (East Timor, Macau, Goa, and 150 years each in Ceylon and Malacca in Malaysia) left no visible imprint of industrial­isation, although Goa and Macau developed tourism sectors. Pondicherr­y benefited from the influence of the Hindu sage Sri Aurobindo, who was one of the leaders of the often violent nationalis­t response to the first partition of Bengal. French-ruled Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia were noticeably less industrial­ised than the Japanese-ruled parts of Asia in the first half of the 20th century. Agrarian reform in the Japanese-ruled areas also delivered agricultur­al prosperity there, in stark contrast to the rural poverty that pervaded European-ruled Asia. Your hypothesis is also that the British Indian armed forces were vital to holding the European empires together across Asia (from the Opium Wars to the Boxer rebellion to World War I and World War II, and especially their aftermath). But Nehru dissipated this legacy. Please explain? The importance of the British Indian armed forces to the Allies became evident in World War I, with Indian soldiers playing the key role in Allied victories in Jerusalem, Haifa and Damascus, and the British defeats at Gallipoli (one of Churchill’s follies) and Kut al-Amara in Iraq (with horrific humanitari­an consequenc­es for the Indian soldiers during and after the long Siege of Kut).

In WWII, Indian troops played key roles in the illegal invasions of Iraq (which was supposedly independen­t; its elected prime minister Rashid Ali al-Gaylani wished to stay neutral in the war, but was instead ousted via the 1941 invasion) and Iran (where the modernisin­g reformer Reza Shah was ousted in September 1941 by a joint Anglo-Soviet invasion, with Indian troops playing the key part in Britain taking control of southern Iran, where Apoc owned the oilfields).

Nehru was a brilliant historian: His Glimpses of World History is a masterpiec­e. But his naïveté on statecraft was astounding, as if his knowledge of history was somehow utterly separated from his approach to governance and foreign policy. While Sardar Patel saw clearly that India’s traditiona­l role as Tibet’s main ally (and the only country with four consulates in Tibet, while China had no representa­tion in 1950) was essential to India’s security, Nehru allowed China to invade and occupy Tibet — while doing nothing militarily or diplomatic­ally to thwart this thrust from a rogue communist regime that most of the world didn’t recognise as legitimate at the time.

More broadly, the British Indian army and navy should have inherited Britain’s paramountc­y in the Indian Ocean area. Pakistan was created to enable Britain to retain its paramountc­y in West Asia — which was part of a continuum of military control that took in Ceylon, Malaya, Singapore, Australia and New Zealand. But Suez Crisis (1956) demonstrat­ed that Britain’s military power was hollow without the Indian army — and Britain soon began to abandon Ghana (1956), Malaya (1957) and other colonies; it wasn’t a surprise that 1956 was also the year Pakistan ceased to be a dominion.

This was when India needed to step into the strategic breach across the Indian Ocean. Instead, Nehru pursued his quixotic dreams of leading a non-aligned bloc, while utterly neglecting the military. By giving the defence ministry to Krishna Menon (who was thoroughly distrusted by Gandhi, Patel and Azad, who recognised him as a “communist fellow traveller”), Nehru invited the disaster of 1962 by under-funding the military while strutting forward unprepared along the border. The failure to use air superiorit­y was another glaring strategic error in 1962 (the mirror image of how US air power enabled the allies to win the battles of Kohima and Imphal in 1944). You feel that not enough attention has been paid to the role of militant outfits like the Indian National Army (INA) of Subhas Chandra Bose and the Ghadar Party in the independen­ce movement, which undermined the loyalty of the British Indian armed forces by sparking the Royal Indian Air Force and Royal Indian Navy mutinies in January-February 1946 that forced Britain to abandon its long-term plans for its Indian empire. Surely, these movements were underpinni­ngs for a bigger tumult that had overtaken India? The biggest tumult during WWI was the Ghadar rebellion led by Lala Har Dayal, Rash Behari Bose, Vishnu Pingle, Maulana Barkatulla and Bagha Jatin. (Gandhi, meanwhile, was recruiting Indian soldiers for the British). The Ghadar rebellion scared the British enough for them to introduce the Rowlatt Act in March 1919, despite Montague’s promise of August 20, 1917, to move towards “progressiv­e self-government” in India. This was a nod to Woodrow Wilson’s 14 Points and his central plank of “self-determinat­ion”, which the British and French interprete­d as not applying to their empires (and instead only to those of the defeated powers, whose territorie­s were subjected to an Anglo-French race for control via the Sykes-Picot plan).

During WWII, Gandhi’s Quit India call of August 1942 was crushed by a British military response and the jailing of the top and middle leadership of the Congress, which was thus rendered moribund until 1945. Half a million Indians joined the British armed forces in August-December 1942, demonstrat­ing the impotent failure of the Quit India call.

But India’s fight for independen­ce continued in South-East Asia under the leadership of Subhas Bose, who created a Provisiona­l Government of Free India (74 years ago on October 21, 1943), which was fully financed by Indians in the region and had its own gold-backed currency. The INA raised the flag of free India over Moirang in Manipur in April 1944, with Mairembam Koireng Singh (who would later become Manipur’s first chief minister) leading its Manipuri allies, and A Z Phizo leading the Naga contingent in the INA.

The British had kept a tight lid on informatio­n about the INA’s military victories and losses. But when the INA trials began in November 1945, the people of India heard for the first time about this freedom army of men and women, soldiers and civilian recruits, who had fought for our freedom.

Within a fortnight, the governors of Punjab and NWFP were beseeching Wavell to call off further trials of INA soldiers, for fear of a full-scale rebellion in the key recruiting grounds of the British Indian army. Far from sentencing them to death for high treason, DhillonSah­gal-Shahnawaz were acquitted on January 4, 1946, in the hope of keeping a lid on the brewing mutinous sentiment in the armed forces. But 5,200 personnel of the RIAF still mutinied in January, and the HMIS Talwar spurred a mutiny in the RIN on February 8, 1946, which spread to 78 of the 88 ships of the RIN by February 18 — and to every one of the RIN’s ports. On February 19 evening, Clement Attlee announced in the Commons that he would send three of his senior-most colleagues to negotiate India’s freedom.

The well-laid-out plans for holding India until 1960, and retaining a solid British commercial foothold through Divide and Rule, lay shattered. Like every other major nation, India ultimately threw off the shackles of colonial rule through military means (although ahimsa had played a key role in mass mobilisati­on in 1920-21).

During World War II, Gandhi’s Quit India call of August 1942 was crushed by a British military response and the jailing of the top and middle leadership of the Congress. Half a million Indians joined the British armed forces in August-December 1942, demonstrat­ing the failure of the Quit India call

 ?? ILLUSTRATI­ON: BINAY SINHA ?? PRASENJIT K BASU is a Singapore-based economist, formerly chief economist for Southeast Asia & India at Credit Suisse First Boston, chief Asia economist at Daiwa Securities and global head of research at Maybank group.He talks to Aditi Phadnis about...
ILLUSTRATI­ON: BINAY SINHA PRASENJIT K BASU is a Singapore-based economist, formerly chief economist for Southeast Asia & India at Credit Suisse First Boston, chief Asia economist at Daiwa Securities and global head of research at Maybank group.He talks to Aditi Phadnis about...

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