Business Standard

J&K: Dispute without end

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rich collection will find, however, that analyses and solutions offered by knowledgea­ble people from India and Pakistan only end up revealing the complexiti­es of the dispute and the incapacity of the leaders of these two states to arrive at any solution of this contentiou­s problem.

Mr Ganguly has divided the history of the past 27 years into four parts: Part One: 1990-1997: The Cold War ends, Kashmir insurgency explodes; Part Two: 1998-2003: Nuclearisa­tion of South Asia and its consequenc­es; Part Three: 2004-2008: Torrent of fury to tears of joy: The thaw; Part Four: 2009-2017: The freeze sets in again. He has interlinke­d each phase with an introducti­on delineatin­g the critical issues.

Some important facts need to be mentioned to contextual­ise the subject. First, India and Pakistan fought two full-fledged convention­al wars in 1965 and 1971, and a “low-intensity” conflict in 1999 (known as the Kargil war). But the nuclearisa­tion of India and Pakistan in 1998 changed the picture. C Raja Mohan has correctly observed that “it was the introducti­on of nuclear weapons into the arsenals of India and Pakistan that dampened the prospects for a convention­al war”.

In the first two parts, the authors focus on the birth of Pakistan-sponsored insurgency as a strategy to destabilis­e not only the Indian part of Kashmir but also to compel India to come to the negotiatin­g table. This strategy is a direct consequenc­e of the nuclearisa­tion of South Asia. As Mr Raja Mohan points out, “[A]fter all, atomic weapons made sure that India can no longer threaten Pakistan’s survival as a state”, but “Pakistan-sponsored insurgency and low-intensity wars against India can continue to ‘bleed’ India. Gautam Adhikari elaborates the same point when he observes that “when neither of the two was nuclear-armed, India enjoyed a proven convention­al military superiorit­y. That is no longer so. Pakistan’s option in the new situation is to compel India to negotiate or face ‘cross-border terrorism on its borders’.”

A second major issue that deserves attention is the role of Jawaharlal Nehru, the first Prime Minister of India, who, while dealing with Kashmir conflict in 1948, decided to refer it to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). Rashtriya Swayamseva­k Sangh (RSS)-Jan Sangh, Shyama Prasad Mukherjee and others have alleged that Nehru mishandled the Kashmir dispute by not waging a war against Pakistan to the finish and by referring the Kashmir dispute to UNSC in 1948, under the pressure from Lord Louis Mountbatte­n.

A very special article by Chandrashe­khar Dasgupta highlights the historical record that exposes the RSS/Jan Sangh line as false propaganda. Nehru, he points out, “Was both arm-twisted and double-crossed by Lord Mountbatte­n”. Mountbatte­n could swiftly communicat­e Indian military plans to Pakistan, whose commanders were also British, so that Indian plans could be effectivel­y neutralise­d. Thus, Mr Dasgupta states, “Nehru was left with few cards to deal”. In short, the British took full advantage of the chaos prevailing in India soon after independen­ce.

In the Security Council, Kashmir became a Cold War game. The US and Britain promoted Pakistan’s interests in Kashmir. Had communist Russia not exercised its veto in favour of the Indian position on Kashmir, India would have been pushed by the Anglo-American power bloc to hand over Kashmir to Pakistan.

Several articles tell the story of how the nature of the Kashmir dispute changed after Al-Qaeda’s attack on the twin towers in New York and the Pentagon in Washington on September 11, 2001. The US and Nato forces’ attack on the Taliban in Afghanista­n, for protecting Al-Qaeda chief Osama bin Laden, revived Pakistan’s status as a client state and emboldened it to sponsor terror attacks on India. Between the nuclear tests, the attack on Indian Parliament in December 2001 and statespons­ored terrorism, the Kashmir dispute grew quite hot. The Pakistani contributo­rs are a mixed lot. If Ayesha Jalal simply repeats her old, unsubstant­iated thesis that the Indian state is not secular, it is Maleeha Lodhi, one of Pakistan’s longservin­g top policymake­rs, who observes, “The strategic relationsh­ip between Pakistan and India remains undefined and unstable.” Ms Lodhi is correct: Every step forward is followed by a crisis.

Mohammed Hanif’s interview highlights the point that today’s “heavily Islamized Pakistan” makes the Kashmir dispute difficult to resolve because religious fundamenta­lists, whether the Islamists of Pakistan or the Hindutva forces of India, complicate the issue by making it an integral part of religion-based politics.

The overall message of the contributo­rs to this volume is that the historical baggage carried by both India and Pakistan is a “gift of the retreating colonial powers,” and the West for its own strategic reasons has complicate­d matters. Can India and Pakistan bilaterall­y negotiate and resolve this contentiou­s issue? Pakistan’s export of terrorism has made that country a victim of terrorism. As far as India is concerned its ambition to emerge as a global player is a pipe dream because Pakistan patronised by China will always act as spoilers. India and Pakistan (1990-2017) Swagato Ganguly Times Group Books 360 pages; ~499

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