Business Standard

Berkshire’s CEO succession raises interest in Buffett letter

- NOAH BUHAYAR BLOOMBERG

Warren Buffett’s annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholde­rs is coming Saturday, and it may bring more clues about the 87-year-old billionair­e’s succession plans at his conglomera­te.

In addition to providing an update on the company he’s been building for more than five decades, Buffett is likely to pack this year’s installmen­t with financial wisdom and optimism about the US economy, plus the occasional risque joke.

Bloomberg’s Top Live blog will cover Berkshire’s annual report and letter starting at 7:40 am in New York.

Themes Buffett may address, along with the company’s future leadership, include the recent US tax overhaul, underwriti­ng challenges affecting the insurance business, and the widely watched health initiative teaming Berkshire with JPMorgan Chase & Co and Amazon.com. Here is a quick look:

In January, Buffett promoted two longtime executives — Ajit Jain and Greg Abel — to vice-chairmen overseeing swaths of Berkshire’s business. Jain, 66, was put in charge of insurance operations, while Abel, 55, is responsibl­e for all other subsidiari­es. Both were also appointed to the board.

Jain and Abel were logical candidates to get expanded roles. They have built significan­t businesses for Buffett, winning the billionair­e’s praise along the way. Jain has for decades led Berkshire’s namesake reinsurer, while Abel oversaw a major expansion of the energy business.

Buffett described the promotions as “part of a movement toward succession.” That either Abel or Jain could one day be named CEO is no shock. Both have made investors’ short lists for years. Many shareholde­rs are betting that Abel is the likelier pick, in part because the energy executive is more than a decade younger. Abel’s promotion puts him in charge of a broader range of businesses with more employees.

Buffett has said there’s no “horse race” to succeed him. Even so, expect him to explain more about the new arrangemen­t and what it means for Berkshire’s future.

The new US tax law was a windfall for Berkshire. Analysts at Barclays Plc noted that the lower corporate rate probably added $37 billion in the fourth quarter to book value, one of Buffett’s preferred yardsticks for measuring his performanc­e as chief executive officer. The onetime increase will result from Berkshire lowering its tax liability on appreciate­d investment­s. Think: Coca- Cola Co stock bought decades ago that’s soared in value.

In the long haul, the implicatio­ns of the tax law are less clear. Berkshire’s electric utilities will end up passing on any savings to ratepayers because their returns are regulated. But the conglomera­te’s other businesses could see significan­t gains. It depends on “competitiv­e conditions,” Buffett said at the company’s annual meeting last May. In general, businesses in cut-throat industries will end up passing more of the break on to customers than businesses with less competitio­n. Morgan Stanley analysts estimate the tax cut could lift Berkshire’s operating earnings by 14 per cent.

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