430 stocks trading belowface value
Gitanjali Gems, Jaypee Infratech have seen market price erosion of more than 75 per cent in 2018
Asharp correction in small-cap stocks over the past few months has pushed 430 actively traded stocks on the BSE below their respective face value, compared to 336 scrips at the beginning of 2018 (CY18).
Gitanjali Gems, Videocon Industries, Jai Balaji Industries, GTL, Orchid Pharma, IVRCL, Jaypee Infratech, PBA Infrastructure, Gammon Infrastructure Project, Tantia Constructions, ABG Shipyard, Shilpi Cable Technologies, Hindustan DorrOliver, Andhra Cements, Burnpur Cement, and Tree House Education are some of the stocks quoting below their respective face value.
So far in CY18, the S&P BSE Smallcap and the S&P BSE Midcap indices have underperformed by falling 15 per cent and 12 per cent respectively, compared to a 4 per cent rise in the S&P BSE Sensex.
Gitanjali Gems, Diamond Power Infrastructure, KSK Energy Ventures, IVRCL and Jaypee Infratech, from the S&P BSE Smallcap and S&P BSE 500 index, have seen market price erosion of more than 75 per cent so far in CY18.
Analysts remain cautious on small- caps and suggest investors stay away from companies where there is no or little earnings visibility and valuation comfort.
"Small- and mid-cap stocks witnessed a sharp rally in the last quarter of CY17. Many market participants justified even 35 to 40 priceto-earnings (PE) on a oneyear forward basis. In CY18, however, these stocks corrected. Unfortunately, this led to a significant fall even in good quality stocks. We expect select stocks to start performing well once the valuation bubble in the large-cap stocks starts bursting," says G Chokkalingam, founder and managing director at Equinomics Research.
The fall in some cases, such as Gitanjali Gems, Jaypee Infratech and Videocon Industries, has been news-driven.
Gitanjali Gems hit an all-time low of ~2.75 on May 4 and has lost around 96 per cent from ~62.85 since February 14, the day the Punjab National Bank (PNB) fraud came into public domain. Likewise, debt-ridden Jaypee Infratech is currently under the corporate insolvency resolution process of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code.
Videocon Industries, too, hit a record low of ~6.84 in June and has seen its market price more than halve in CY18. The company has been referred to the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) for debt resolution.
"Of the lot, stocks of companies on a solid fundamental footing are likely to bounce back. In cases where the news is false and financials are strong. a faster rebound will be seen. However, the rebound will take time and test the patience of investors," said Kunj Bansal, partner and chief investment officer at Sarthi Group.
Over the next one year, A K Prabhakar, head of research at IDBI Capital expects the markets to remain choppy in the backdrop of global cues and developments in India, such as monsoon progress, economic data and the upcoming general elections in 2019.
Small-cap segment, he says, will underperform, though there will be stock- specific outperformance where companies deliver on earnings.