Business Standard

Informalit­y in India

- ABHISHEK WAGHMARE

THE INFORMAL SECTOR plays an important role in India’s labour market. According to official statistics, it contribute­s more than half of the gross value added in the economy, which varies across sectors, the highest being in agricultur­e, constructi­on, and real estate. Informal employment, on the other hand, is more entrenched: It exists in both informal and formal sectors.

Chart 1 shows that about 88 per cent of India’s workforce is informal, or without any social security. About 8 per cent is informal employment in formal entities. An analysis of employment in India’s manufactur­ing sector, published in a World Bank report (Beaten or Broken, Informalit­y and Covid-19), suggests that 1 per cent of formal entities generate 81 per cent of overall revenue, but employ only 15 per cent of labour.

Chart 2 also reveals that informal firms with 2-5 people form a third of establishm­ents, employ 39 per cent of labour, but generate only 8 per cent of revenue. This analysis has been performed on the Consumer Pyramids Household Survey (CPHS) by the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE).

Covid-19 disrupted the labour market strongly. Charts 3 and 4 show how workers transition­ed from one state to another, in two periods: Pre- and during the pandemic.

In four months from August to December 2019 (pre-covid), about 84 per cent of formal workers remained formal, while others either became casual workers, self-employed or unemployed, or stopped looking for work. About 13.5 per cent of casual workers (who probably earned daily or weekly but had steady incomes) became self-employed in that period.

But between April and August 2020, a period struck by the economic blow of Covid-19, only 38 per cent of formal workers remained formal, as 29 per cent became self-employed, and 22 per cent turned casual. They lost social security even as the economy is recovering. A section of the unemployed, too, got informal work in this period, showing some reversal in job losses.

At the national level, unemployme­nt came back to usual levels after a spike during the lockdown, according to CMIE data. But labour participat­ion has settled on a new normal, chart 5 shows.

A business-as-usual job scene, however, masks the impact on incomes. Those who got back to work, now work on lower wages. A study conducted by the National Council of Applied Economic Research in Odisha and Uttar Pradesh showed that 11-42 per cent respondent­s saw their incomes reduced by half, shows chart 6.

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