Business Standard

Milk wars boil over for Amul

Karnataka and Tamil Nadu see threats to the cooperativ­e value chains with GCMMF’S attempt to enter the procuremen­t business

- SHINE JACOB & SANJEEB MUKHERJEE

The recent battles between the Gujarat Cooperativ­e Milk Marketing Federation (GCMMF), which owns the Amul brand, and Nandini in Karnataka and Aavin in Tamil Nadu may have some roots in a 10-year-old headline-grabbing tussle between Verghese Kurien, the driving force behind India’s White Revolution and GCMMF chairman, and Amrita Patel, chairman of the National Dairy Developmen­t Board (NDDB).

Patel, a Verghese protégé, had wanted to create an umbrella brand under Mother Dairy (an NDDB subsidiary), by setting up joint ventures with state federation­s to create a centralise­d brand. Mother Dairy would hold a 51 per cent stake in each joint venture. Kurien resisted fiercely on grounds that it would corporatis­e the dairy sector. After several rounds of truce talks, in which even the then deputy prime minister L K Advani had to intervene, Patel’s plan was shelved.

That episode may well have created an aversion to centralisa­tion in the cooperativ­e dairy sector — hence Nandini and Aavin’s reluctance to tie up with Amul. Moreover, the cooperativ­e sector dynamics have changed since 2003. When Kurien resigned from GCMMF in 2006, it was a ~3,600-crore federation. Now Amul is India’s largest FMCG brand with a reported group turnover of ~72,000 crore in 2022-23. Naturally, it has the money power to compete against any state cooperativ­e.

The current controvers­y started in December last year, when Union Home and Cooperatio­n Minister Amit Shah said, “Cooperatio­n between Amul and Nandini can do wonders in the dairy sector.” Opposition parties in the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) ruled state immediatel­y saw in this a move to merge the ~21,000 crore Nandini with Gujarat-based Amul.

In April, in the middle of the Assembly election campaign, Amul announced that it would enter Karnataka to supply milk and curd. This led to widespread protests across the state, providing the Congress with a handy issue to mobilise pro-kannada sentiments. A recent change in the Multi-state Co-operative Societies Act, making the merger of two state cooperativ­es easier, fuelled the Opposition’s argument.

On May 25, Tamil Nadu Chief Minister M K Stalin approached Shah, seeking his interventi­on to direct Amul to desist from milk procuremen­t from the milk shed catchment area of Aavin (the Tamil Nadu Co-operative Milk Producers Federation) in his state with immediate effect.

Though Nandini and Aavin are small brands compared to Amul, they have a strong market presence in their respective states. Nandini, owned by the Karnataka Milk Federation, produces over 9 million litres of milk per day and has 2.64 million members dependent on it. Meanwhile, Aavin procures 3.5 million litres per day with around 450,000 members. Amul’s annual numbers for 2022-23 show that it has 3.6 million registered members and procures an average of 27 million litres per day.

What is more, Amul products were already being sold in both states. So what was the problem? “As long as Amul was coming in with products it was not a problem because it was something value added and with a shelf life. When it gets into the local market by procuring locally, it cuts into the marketshar­e of local cooperativ­es. This choking in procuremen­t itself may hit the rest of the value chain of the local cooperativ­es,” M S Sriram, a professor at the Centre for Public Policy, Indian Institute of Management bangalore, told Business Standard.

But a senior industry official and a long-timer with Amul said, nobody could stop Amul from entering into procuremen­t tie-ups legally, because “it is not creating new members, which it cannot do being a state cooperativ­e registered under the state laws”. In fact, he added, Amul currently procures milk in 10 or 12 states apart from Gujarat, including Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Haryana, Rajasthan, Punjab, and West Bengal, either on its own or through local cooperativ­es.

“To me it’s a win-win situation because Amul will pay a higher and better price to farmers for their milk, consumers will get cheaper milk products and it is also good for the dairy industry,” he said. He added that as more organised players entered the market, it would bring transparen­cy in operations and pricing and also benefit consumers. “More buyers means a better price of the milk for farmers,” the official said. “In some states, even the state government­s invite Amul to set up its own procuremen­t and chilling centres to help milk farmers.

But, critics say that Amul’s foray is welcome in those states where the cooperativ­e structure is weak, but in southern states, where milk cooperativ­es are big and strong, such creeping entry has started creating problems.

To those who pitch this argument and the portrayal of Amul as a cooperativ­e, Sriram has a counter view. “When it comes to other states, Amul is not a

The reason several experts do not think competitio­n in milk procuremen­t is good is the structure of the milk value chain

cooperativ­e, because it is a cooperativ­e of the farmers of Gujarat and accountabl­e to the farmers of Gujarat and not to the farmers of Karnataka or Tamil Nadu, even if they procure from them,” he said. As he wrote in an article in The Wire, other strong local brands lost out in Gujarat when Amul was given prominence — Sagar by Dudhsagar Dairy in Mehsana, Sugam in Vadodara, Sumul from Surat and, Vasudhara from Valsad.

Another major argument put forward by those supporting Amul entry is that the private sector is also procuring milk from these states. But the fact is that the private sector’s market share in liquid milk is much lower. The reason several experts do not think competitio­n in milk procuremen­t is good is the structure of the milk value chain. Milk has to be procured from villages, and then transporte­d and processed at the nearest plant. “That means that procuremen­t has to be monopolist­ic in nature. It becomes unviable for the other players, if they are unable to procure milk. Amul has deep pockets and can bleed for a while and sustain such operations,” Sriram told Business Standard.

Interestin­gly, according to the Amul website, it has plants in Gujarat, Delhi/ncr region, UP, Maharashtr­a, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Assam, Chhattisga­rh, Jammu & Kashmir, and Jharkhand, but no plants in South India, indicating that the region is still a roadblock for the mega player. Whether Amul becomes a pan-indian brand or not is a pure business decision. However, experts indicate that the move may deviate from Kurien’s dream of having hundred Amullike brands in India.

 ?? Source: NDDB ?? DCS: Dairy cooperativ­e societies; *thousand kilograms per day; **thousand litres per day
Source: NDDB DCS: Dairy cooperativ­e societies; *thousand kilograms per day; **thousand litres per day
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