Business Today

THE AUTHORITIE­S COULD REVIEW PROCESSES FOR MASTER PLANNING AND PROVIDE FOR UPWARD INCREASES IN FSI COMMENSURA­TE WITH INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUC­TURE

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prices and continued fiscal benefits and subsidies makes this the ideal period for homebuyers. The pandemic has made people recognise the need for additional space at home. They are shifting to larger homes.

Further, certain states have provided time-bound relief. For example, Maharashtr­a had lowered the stamp duty from 5 per cent to 2 per cent for properties registered before December 31, 2020, and to 3 per cent from January 1, 2021 to March 31, 2021. Mumbai recorded historic number of house sale deed registrati­ons. At a broader level, I would like to elucidate some of the factors that will ensure long-term growth of affordable housing:

1 INHERENT DEMAND

First and foremost, India has a huge housing shortage. There is a tremendous potential for growth as the penetratio­n level of mortgages in India is extremely low compared to other countries. The mortgage to GDP ratio in India is only 11 per cent compared to peer countries’ 20-30 per cent or advanced countries’ 60 per cent.

Housing is a basic necessity and not a luxury. Most middle-income people who take loans to buy a house are genuine endusers and intend to stay in the house that they purchase.

Data over the years has clearly shown that housing loans have much lower defaults and, consequent­ly, a better credit risk profile compared to other personal loans. Also, demand for housing has proved to be relatively inelastic even in a higher interest rate environmen­t or during a temporary slowdown in the economy.

2 FAVOURABLE DEMOGRAPHI­CS

Two thirds of India’s population is below 35 years of age and unlike the west, in India, people do not buy a home when they are in their 20s. The average age of a first-time home buyer in India is about 39 years. And with two-thirds of the population below 35, what this means is that two-thirds of the population has not even contemplat­ed buying a house yet.

However, over the next 5, 10, 15 years, all these younger people will get to an age where they will buy a house. Therefore, in my view, there will be a structural long-term demand for housing and, therefore, housing finance in India.

3 IMPROVED AFFORDABIL­ITY

Government support and rising incomes have contribute­d to improved affordabil­ity. As per our estimates, this is arguably the best period in terms of housing affordabil­ity in over two and a half decades.

Around 25 years ago, it would have taken 22 times a

person’s annual income to afford a modest sized house in most cities in India. Today, this has improved to just 3.2 times the annual income.

GOVERNMENT INITIATIVE­S

Due to incentives and ongoing reforms, the housing and real estate sector has become structural­ly stronger over the years. For instance, the affordable housing segment has become a sweet spot for every constituen­t across the housing chain due to its incentivis­ation by the government.

Within the ecosystem of the “Housing for All” programme of the government is the Credit Linked Subsidy Scheme (CLSS), which has been a major success. As on March 31, 2021, it had benefited an estimated 11.3 million first-time homebuyers. In this scheme, the interest subsidy on the home loan is paid to the beneficiar­y upfront, thereby reducing the amount of the loan and, consequent­ly, the EMI. The upfront subsidy under the CLSS goes a long way in enabling individual­s to become homeowners much earlier in life.

Affordable housing has also been supported by tax incentives wherein a developer gets 100 per cent deduction on profits on their affordable housing projects. To the credit of the government, the timeline for availing this benefit has been regularly extended.

I now have a few suggestion­s that may be considered for the sustainabl­e growth of affordable housing:

1 LEVERAGING TECHNOLOGY

Technology has enabled developers to virtually showcase their properties. Home loan providers, too, have leveraged their digital platforms to serve new and existing customers.

Further capitalisi­ng on technology will immensely help the real estate sector. For instance, progress of projects can be monitored through digital dashboards, with data driving key decisions. Funding for projects based on constructi­on milestones can also be better monitored online. This will bring in the much-needed transparen­cy and accountabi­lity and improve cost efficienci­es.

With Indian consumers increasing­ly relying on technology for their financial transactio­ns, regulators may consider permitting digital signatures for property-related documents. It would immensely help homebuyers complete a digital end-to-end purchase.

2 RAISING RESOURCES

Many NBFCs which were earlier used to provide funds to real estate developers have withdrawn from the market partly as a result of the stress they faced and partly due to the current regulation­s. Whilst top quality developers continue to raise funds, the next grade of developers is unable to borrow money from the formal system. These developers are, therefore, being forced to resort to raising funds from real estate funds/private equity investors whose return expectatio­ns are extremely high. This additional cost ultimately gets passed onto the customer, thus making housing more expensive.

3 INFRASTRUC­TURAL DEVELOPMEN­T

A major problem with affordable housing is that if it is built in far-flung city outskirts where land is cheaper, there are often no takers, as the necessary social infrastruc­ture in terms of schools and hospitals may not be available. In some instances, developers could be offering attractive property prices on city outskirts, yet people would be reluctant to shift because it would affect their quality of life. Hence, key stakeholde­rs have to ensure that civic amenities and housing developmen­t happen simultaneo­usly.

The authoritie­s could also review processes for master planning and provide for upward increases in FSI commensura­te with investment in infrastruc­ture.

4 MORTGAGE GUARANTEE PRODUCT

The mortgage guarantee product will become an essential component. It is a product whose time has come and I am sure in the days to come the India Mortgage Guarantee Corporatio­n will deepen its footprint.

THE CONCLUSION

The demand for affordable housing in India is deep and resilient. With more developers transition­ing to the mid- and affordable segment by providing right sized, right priced units, I believe that the affordable residentia­l real estate segment will continue to see strong traction. The demand for housing is not pent-up demand. It is structural demand that is here to stay.

PROGRESS OF PROJECTS CAN BE MONITORED THROUGH DIGITAL DASHBOARDS, WITH DATA DRIVING KEY DECISIONS

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