Forgetting core issues, Pak busy with Trump, India
There’s nothing like a dose of patriotism and nationalism to muddle the senses. We’ve just been told what kind of country Pakistan will be, but all we can think is, Trump said what? How dare he!
Well, dare Trump did and on we’ve cheered our boys for thundering back. We’ve shown him! Except, they — the boys — have shown us. Shown us what kind of country Pakistan will be. And it ain’t pretty.
The good thing about a pushover PM is that the boys can tell us exactly what they think. And tell us that they did at the NSC meeting.
Excited by a punchy response to yet another bellicose American President, most missed the clearest articulation yet of Pakistan’s priorities in Afghanistan.
The “core issues” for Pakistan, in the words of the NSC, are four: “eliminating safe havens inside Afghanistan, border management, return of refugees and reinvigorating the peace process for a political settlement in Afghanistan”.
Now work through what that means. There will, most evidently, be a permanent role for the Taliban in Afghanistan. But embedded in a permanent role for the Taliban in Afghanistan has always been an uncomfortable question:
How do we stop them, the Taliban, from infecting Pakistan, and from allowing Afghanistan to become a base for anti-Pakistan militants?
Basically, the nuttiness of having as a permanent neighbour a rabid Islamist lot that has tasted the blood of two superpowers and knows nothing but jihad is a question we’ve always deferred answering. Because America. And the war on terror. And, of course, India. But now we’ve laid out a template.
The answer is this: we’ll eventually chuck out all Afghans from Pakistan and seal the border with Afghanistan. That’ll prevent Pakistan from being infected by the Taliban.
And in the meantime, we’ll get Afghanistan and America to eliminate the anti-Pak sanctuaries. That’ll mean no antiPak militant problem for the Taliban.
Two countries, one nonporous border; the Taliban pottering around Afghanistan doing Taliban stuff, Pakistan going about its business of becoming a regional superpower. You can believe that. Or you can believe what it’ll really mean: Pakistan dealing with the perpetual fallout of having a rabid Islamist lot dominant in its backyard, with close ties to swathes of the Pakistani people and sympathies for radical causes inside Pakistan. Now what could go wrong with that?
But a militarised future of the state doesn’t necessarily exercise the mind when past and present have also been a militarised state. Better, then, to shake a fist at Trump. Except, it doesn’t end there. Only a fool would expect Pakistan to be a normal state when it is surrounded by threats and enemies.
The problem is, the militarised state also seems intent on another round of social engineering. Because along with the Taliban/Afghanistan stuff, we’ve learned two other things recently. The first is that democracy is dead. The PPP has been banished to Sindh and Nawaz is being whittled down. The third option, Imran, has shown no interest in articulating a vision incompatible with a militarised state.
The other recent signal has been on the anti-India lot. For their discipline and loyalty in not attacking the Pakistani state, the anti-India lot have always been in line for a reward. The reward: they will never be smashed. So when the time comes, the option has been between dissolving them back into society or repackaging them as benign entities.
We’ve now been given the answer: the anti-India lot will be repackaged and let loose in the political arena. If the antiIndia lot merely end up cannibalising the ultra-right vote we’ll probably be all right.
But if they end up normalising jihad via support of the militarised state, figure out a way to appeal to a broader public, all bets are off.
The weird thing is, the militarised state is telling us that it is doing all of this. In plain words, directly and right in front of us.
But we’re too busy shaking a fist at Trump. And India. And Afghanistan. There really is nothing like a dose of patriotism and nationalism to muddle the senses.