Deccan Chronicle

S&P affirms India rating, outlook While risks to India's long-term growth rate are rising, ongoing economic reforms, if executed well, should keep the country's growth rate ahead of peers

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The government on Wednesday released Rs 6,195 crore to 14 states as the third equated-monthly instalment of the post-devolution revenue deficit grant, as recommende­d by the 15th Finance Commission. “This would provide them additional resources during the corona crisis," the office of the finance minister said. Earlier, on April 3 and May 11, the ministry released a similar amount to the 14 states.

Mumbai, June 10: Standard and Poor's affirmed its rating on India's longterm foreign and local currency sovereign credit at the lowest investment­grade level and retained its stable outlook on the economy on Wednesday.

India's long-term rating was affirmed at 'BBB-' with a stable outlook and the short-term rating was held at 'A-3'.

Earlier this month, Moody's downgraded India to a notch above junk, falling in line with other global agencies, but also cut its outlook to 'negative' on the back of rising debt and persistent stress in the financial system.

S&P's stable outlook reflects its expectatio­n that the economy will recover following the containmen­t of the Covid-19 pandemic, and maintain its sound net external position, it said.

S&P also assumes that the government's fiscal deficit will recede markedly following a multi-year high this fiscal year.

"While risks to India's long-term growth rate are rising, ongoing economic reforms, if executed well, should keep the country's growth rate ahead of peers," S&P analysts wrote.

S&P expects the government's fiscal deficit to touch 11 per cent of GDP in 2020-21 on the back of pandemic related spending and said the government's ability to consolidat­e its finances once the economy begins to recover will be key in deciding the sustainabi­lity of India's debt.

India's ratings could be raised if the government significan­tly curtails its fiscal deficits, resulting in materially lower net indebtedne­ss at the general government level, S&P said.

Downside pressure on ratings would emerge if GDP growth doesn't recover meaningful­ly from 2021 onwards and if net government deficit levels sharply exceed forecasts, it added.

"India's overall external position remains a credit strength, largely owing to the economy's limited external indebtedne­ss," the analysts wrote.

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