Down to Earth

Mapping sting rates

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SCIENTISTS HAVE developed a mathematic­al model to track and predict malaria transmissi­on trends, ultimately quantifyin­g the efficiency of various treatment and eradicatio­n strategies in high-risk regions. They used three distinct factors—climate, the extrinsic incubation period and the vectorbias effect—to simulate transmissi­on trends, which could offer a possible way to reduce transmissi­on rates. There were 212 million malaria cases in 2015. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematic­s, January 24

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