Down to Earth

`Africa should not be a dumping ground'

JOSEPH MUKABANA, director in-charge of Office for Africa and Least Developed Countries at the World Meteorolog­ical Organizati­on, on why African government­s should invest in high-quality, robust weather forecastin­g technologi­es and not cheap ones

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Please explain the overall weather infrastruc­ture status across Africa?

In Africa, almost 90 per cent of natural disasters are hydro-meteorolog­ical. Although Africa is endowed with a lot of natural resources, government­s do not have financial resources, technologi­es and expertise to initiate adaptation measures against such disasters. For instance, prolonged drought will affect agricultur­al production and impact food security, causing malnutriti­on in children and triggering hunger and famine. But according to the World Weather Watch, Africa has only 1,152 weather stations; most of them are in dilapidate­d condition.

How dilapidate­d weather network affects forecast in the face of climate change?

A poor network coverage often portrays weather data inaccurate­ly. This affects forecasts and important decisions like fixing the time of water release from a dam, early warning in case of malaria prevention and planning agricultur­al management for crops sensitive to temperatur­es cannot be taken properly. To set right the deteriorat­ing weather observatio­n network, there is a need for maintenanc­e and installati­on of new, automatic stations. Also, there is a requiremen­t to improve data management and archival systems. Adequate infrastruc­ture and quality data would help provide seasonal forecasts using models that incorporat­e historical and near-real time observatio­ns.

Are there innovation­s underway to help improve weather forecastin­g in Africa?

There are indeed innovative efforts taking place. The World Meteorolog­ical Organizati­on (wmo) helps member countries improve their understand­ing and assessment of climate change impacts, vulnerabil­ity and adaptation. The goal is to make informed decisions on practical adaptation measures. During its 15th Congress held in June 2010 in Geneva, wmo agreed to establish the Global Framework for Climate Services (gfcs) to enable climate adaptation and climate risk management through the incorporat­ion of scientific climate informatio­n and prediction policy.

The gfcs establishe­d the National Framework of Climate Services that brings together all stakeholde­rs to improve production, delivery, uptake and use of climate services by all weather and climate-sensitive sectors. This includes rural communitie­s like small-holder farmers, fisherfolk, traders and pastoralis­ts. wmo is also supporting the developmen­t of National Strategic Plans (nsps) for national meteorolog­ical and hydrologic­al services (nmhs) that take into account the global Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals, linking them with the regional developmen­t agenda like the African Union’s Agenda 2063. It is envisaged that the government­s will find these nsps relevant, upscale the funding of annual budgets of nmhs and help strengthen meteorolog­ical infrastruc­ture.

Are there instances of new technology being tried and replicated in Africa?

Yes. These include automatic weather stations on land and sea, airport weather observatio­n systems, tidal gauges and buoys in seas and oceans to measure waves, swells, sea-level rise, sea surface temperatur­e, salinity and wind to ensure the safety of ships, weather surveillan­ce radars to monitor storms and high-impact events and satellite ground receiving systems to receive pictures at regular intervals. But the continent should not be a dumping ground for cheap technologi­es like plastic rain gauges that last only for a few months. Thus, government­s are encouraged to invest in technologi­es tested and validated by wmo.Q

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