Hindustan Times (Bathinda)

On SDGs, states need to get real and prioritise

It’s impossible to meet all 169 Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals. Government­s must choose targets wisely

- BJORN LOMBORG Bjorn Lomborg is president, Copenhagen Consensus Center and visiting professor , Copenhagen Business School. The views expressed are personal

This week, government representa­tives and policy experts will gather in Kathmandu to discuss the implementa­tion of the United Nations’ Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals. This is a set of targets that determines how much of government­s’ and the internatio­nal developmen­t community’s budgets will be spent between now and 2030. Since the targets were passed in 2015, policy-makers are finding it difficult to deliver the extensive list of 169 different ambitions at once. The sustainabl­e developmen­t agenda was the result of a well-meaning but painfully inclusive process that lacked economic inputs. But it saw government representa­tives, regional blocs, NGOs, agencies and advocacy groups all tussling over which developmen­t goals should be given the UN’s stamp of approval.

As a result, the agenda attempts to be all things to all people. Many targets are so broad and idealistic that they are meaningles­s: Between now and 2030, the UN foresees the eradicatio­n of poverty, HIV/AIDS, malaria and malnutriti­on, along with the creation of “full and productive employment and decent work” for all adults. We need to get real. We simply cannot reach all 169 targets in 13 years under realistic budgets. But which targets we choose to focus on matter to our shared future.

That is why we need to start talking about priorities. Right now, there is an absence of prioritisa­tion. The agenda gives the same weight to the eradicatio­n of preventabl­e infant deaths as it does to the promotion of “sustainabl­e tourism”.

It may seem harmless to include a developmen­t target highlighti­ng the need for “green and public spaces, in particular for women and children, older persons, and persons with disabiliti­es”. But at a time when 1.2 billion people live in abject poverty, 2.5 billion lack access to water and sanitation, and almost a billion people go to bed hungry, we need to ask if tree-filled parks for the elderly are the most urgent developmen­t priority. The UN has never published any comprehens­ive study into its targets’ valuefor-money. They are certainly not all equal.

Economic analyses prepared by 82 top economists and 44 sector experts for the Copenhagen Consensus Center show that some targets are barely worthwhile, producing little more than a rupee in social benefits for each rupee spent. This research uses which identifies the amount of environmen­tal, social and economic benefits that society gets from an investment.

An eminent panel including several Nobel laureate economists studied this research and found that, among the analysed targets, 19 would produce the greatest returns. Concentrat­ing on these would achieve 20 to 40 rupees of social benefits for each rupee spent. In contrast, allocating funds evenly across all 169 targets reduces the benefits to less than 10 rupees per rupee.

In other words, being smart about spending – focusing first on the developmen­t targets where we can achieve the most – could do the same as doubling or quadruplin­g the aid budget. At a global level, prioritisi­ng the most powerful targets would mean providing access to contracept­ion to every woman, working much harder to prevent childhood malnutriti­on, and promoting free trade to reduce poverty.

At a national or sub-national level, priorities can be subtly different: While the broad agenda will be the same, what should be prioritise­d in Sri Lanka may not be the same as for India. Last year the Copenhagen Consensus Center zeroed in on the best choices for Bangladesh and Haiti, in two projects that produced dozens of comprehens­ive, new research papers on the many different ways each country could make the biggest difference for its citizens.

Panels of eminent economists, including Nobel laureates, studied all of this research and identified the most powerful investment­s for Bangladesh and for Haiti. For example, Bangladesh is now focusing on “e-government” solutions after the research highlighte­d the large benefits these could provide, and both nations are stepping up efforts to prevent childhood malnutriti­on.

When policy-makers meet in Kathmandu to talk about the difficulti­es of achieving and monitoring the 169 targets in South and South-West Asia, they need to acknowledg­e that not all targets are equally effective, and they need to push for prioritisa­tion of the most effective ones. A sharper focus could generate hundreds of trillions of rupees extra worth of social, environmen­tal, and economic benefits for the globe.

BEING SMART ABOUT SPENDING ON TARGETS WHERE WE CAN ACHIEVE THE MOST COULD DO THE SAME AS DOUBLING OR QUADRUPLIN­G THE AID BUDGET

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