Hindustan Times (Delhi)

Nitish for expulsion of Pragya Thakur

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At a press conference to mark the end of campaignin­g, BJP president Amit Shah said that the disciplina­ry committee of the party will review Thakur’s response and take a decision on the matter.

PM Narendra Modi said in an interview to a TV channel in Madhya Pradesh’s Khargone that while Thakur has apologised, he can never find it in his heart to forgive her.

A suspect in the 2008 Malegaon bomb blast, which killed six people, Thakur was forced to apologise within hours of praising Godse on May 14 after she was cornered by opposition parties. only by their first names). The minor was at his maternal grandparen­ts’ home along with his mother to attend an iftar dinner when the incident took place.

According to the police, someone had left a mobile charger plugged into the electric socket. Sahwar put the charging pin in his mouth and got an electric shock, after which he fell unconsciou­s.

He was immediatel­y rushed to a hospital where he was declared brought dead.

The police did not file a complaint as it was a death by accident.

The India Today-axis poll has predicted an overwhelmi­ng 339365 seats for the NDA, with 293316 to the BJP alone. The News 18-IPSOS poll has given NDA 336 seats, with BJP alone at 276 seats.

It predicts that the United Progressiv­e Alliance (UPA) would get 82 seats, with the Congress at 46 seats, just two more than what the party won in 2014. The India TV-CNX poll has given the NDA 300 seats.

The second is of Modi coming back as PM with the BJP as the single largest party and the NDA winning a majority. The Republic-cvoter poll has predicted such an outcome, giving the NDA 287 seats. The Times NOW-VMR poll has given NDA 306 and 262 to the BJP. The ABP News-nielsen poll has given the NDA a total of 277 seats. It predicts 130 seats for the UPA and others at 135 seats.

The third scenario is of the BJP as the single largest party comfortabl­y above 200 seats and the NDA as the single largest prepoll formation, but at less than 272 seats — this would still take Modi to within striking distance of a majority but open up the space for potential allies to negotiate on their terms. None of the polls predict specifical­ly such a scenario, although some are in the vicinity.

And the fourth is of the BJP as the single largest party but at around 200 seats, making a second term for Modi difficult and opening the doors for a broad Opposition alliance anchored, but not necessaril­y led, by the Congress. The Newsx-neta poll has given NDA 242 seats, with BJP at 202 seats; it predicts 164 seats for the UPA and 43 seats for the Mahagathba­ndhan of Samajwadi Party(sp)-bahujan Samaj Party (Bsp)-rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) in Uttar Pradesh. It leaves the possibilit­y of the UPA, the SP-BSP-RLD alliance, the Trinamool Congress, and the YSR Congress and the Telangana Rashtra Samithi to come together to cross the majority mark.

The poll outcomes brought cheer to the BJP camp, and party leaders claimed it was a vindicatio­n of Narendra Modi’s popularity. When contacted, Union minister Prakash Javadekar said the polls were a reflection of the BJP’S popularity. “The exit polls are showing a return of the BJP. The exact polls will give [us] a much better majority. We will improve on our tally of 2014,” he said.

The BJP won 282 seats in the Lok Sabha in 2014, becoming the first party in 30 years to clinch a majority on its own.

The Congress did not buy the exit poll numbers. “Having waited for almost seven weeks, let us wait for May 23 for the final result. Exit polls have gone notoriousl­y wrong in the past. As far as the error of these polls is concerned, one fundamenta­l error is to give so many seats in saturation states to the BJP, which, according to me, is contrary to all logic,” said senior Congress leader Abhishek Singhvi.

Regional leaders, too, expressed their apprehensi­on about the poll numbers. “I don’t trust Exit Poll gossip. The game plan is to manipulate or replace thousands of EVMS [electronic voting machines] through this gossip. I appeal to all Opposition parties to be united, strong and bold. We will fight this battle together,” West Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee tweeted.

Most polls which predict a comfortabl­e majority for NDA have assumed an outright sweep for the BJP in most of the northern, central and western states where the party did well in 2014 . In most of these states — Gujarat, Rajasthan, Maharashtr­a, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisga­rh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhan­d, Haryana — the Congress is the BJP’S principal challenger. If the numbers come true, they would indicate that the Congress has been unable to translate the success of the state assembly elections at the end of last year into gains.

The only region where the Congress has outperform­ed the BJP is south India, according to the exit polls.

The most striking, and sometimes divergent projection­s, come from the state of Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal. In the former, the BJP is battling to minimise its losses in the face of a strong opposition in the form of the SP-BSP-RLD alliance. The Abp-nielsen poll gave the opposition alliance 45 seats, while giving the BJP 22 seats. In contrast, the India Today-axis poll has given BJP 62 to 68 seats in UP, while giving the SP-BSP-RLD 10 to 16 seats.

In West Bengal, where the BJP is seeking to wrest seats from a strong and aggressive incumbent, Mamata Banerjee, polls seem to agree that the saffron party will make gains. While Abp-nielsen has given BJP 16 seats, a gain of 14 seats from 2014, the India Today-axis poll has given it 19-23 seats in the state.

Commenting on both the reliabilit­y of the numbers and what they mean, Milan Vaishnav of the Carnegie Endowment for Internatio­nal Peace said, “With the caveat that exit polls have had a chequered past in India, these numbers are very good news for PM Modi and the BJP. If the results on Thursday mirror the exit polls, it will represent a massive blow to the Opposition, which has struggled to halt the BJP juggernaut. The Congress had few illusions of moving well beyond 100 seats, but it had hoped to keep the BJP below 200, thereby raising the prospects of a Modi-less government.”

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