Martinez best coach but France favourites
Having seamlessly changed formation at short notice, it will have to be seen whether Belgium stick to a back four against France in the first semi-final. This will be among the many things to look forward to in this battle of all battles, a mouth-watering clash for neutrals.
Roberto Martinez has been my coach of the tournament and it will be interesting to see whether he sticks to what worked brilliantly against Brazil or reverts to what worked brilliantly right up to the quarter-final. Given that Kylian Mbappe can fly, I think Belgium will continue with four defenders instead of three centrebacks.
What I am not too sure about is whether both Marouane Fellaini and Nacer Chadli will start Tuesday’s semi-final. That’s because their size, which bothered Brazil and maybe even caught them by surprise, won’t intimidate France.
But here’s the thing: against Brazil, Martinez knew he would have to defend. That’s what playing five-time champions, coached by someone of Tite’s ability, do to opponents. Against France though, it could be different.
So, will Belgium fly off the blocks or will they again depend on their ability to hit on the counter? It is penetration and not possession that matters in football now as has been shown by Spain and Germany’s ouster. Another reason to look forward to this game.
France are unlikely to change much because they have been successful without needing to. They haven’t hit top gear yet but beat Argentina and easily took Uruguay in their stride. They have been my favourite team to win the World Cup and so far, I have seen nothing that could change my mind.
As their captain Hugo Lloris has mentioned, the key to France’s progress could be in how Paul Pogba grows into the tournament’s final week. Like Kevin de Bruyne, Pogba’s influence is growing and whether France make the final could depend on the impact he has.
Croatia will go into their semifinal after two successive rounds that went into the tie-breaker and that might put them at a slight disadvantage. I say slight because modern recovery techniques and the depth in teams’ medical staff can get players fresh a lot faster than they would earlier.
Croatia haven’t played to potential yet and Mario Mandzukic hasn’t fired. If he is 100% fit, Mandzukic could be another late bloomer like De Bruyne and Pogba.
England haven’t really been tested; they lost the only time they were a goal down and it will have to see whether the young players have the mental steel to deal with the pressure of a semifinal. I won’t be surprised if Croatia win this provided, of course, they have no major injury issues.
CROATIA HAVEN’T PLAYED TO POTENTIAL YET AND MARIO MANDZUKIC HASN’T FIRED. IF HE IS 100% FIT, MANDZUKIC COULD BE ANOTHER LATE BLOOMER LIKE DE BRUYNE AND POGBA.