Hindustan Times (Jalandhar)

A history of foreign PE investment

- Shobhit Agarwall letters@hindustant­imes.com The author is MD & CEO – ANAROCK Capital

Since 2005, when restrictio­ns on FDI in real estate were lifted, the India realty sector has received more than USD 25 bn worth of equity investment­s from foreign investors.

While the pre-Modi era witnessed sizable foreign investment­s, a major portion of these came post 2014.

The period between 2005 and 2014 saw investment­s of USD 9 bn, while the past five years saw a remarkable 84% increase – that too in half the number of years. Most post-2014 investment­s were in income-yielding assets largely office, followed by retail projects.

These investment­s came in from all over the world, but the investing regions have not been constant over the years.

Investment in Indian real estate started from Singaporeb­ased funds, quickly followed by funds from the US and Europe. Between 2005 and 2008, Indian real estate received investment­s worth USD 5.7 bn.

Considerab­le activity here came from capital providers like JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Lehman brothers, Wachovia, Walton Street Capital, etc. and Singaporeb­ased developer capital providers like Ascendas, Xander, Mapletree and Capitaland.

However, post 2008, most funds withdrew from India because there were limited exit opportunit­ies.

In the ensuing 6 years, only USD 3.4 bn worth of investment­s came into Indian real estate most of them in 2014.

In this period, Blackstone strengthen­ed its position with multiple high-ticket investment­s across Tier 1 cities.

Brookfield also headlined with USD 330 mn investment­s in Unitech Corporate Parks (UCP). This period also saw considerab­le consolidat­ion from Singapore-based funds like GIC, Ascendas and Xander.

The momentum restarted from 2014 onward. In next five years, Indian real estate received USD 16.6 bn worth of foreign investment­s.

In this period, investor focus remained largely on big-ticket income-yielding commercial and retail assets – 72% in aggregate.

This period also saw the entry of significan­t Canadian pension funds into Indian real estate, either directly or through platform deals with Indian counterpar­t.

While Singapore-based funds led by GIC remained very active in this period, US-based funds led by Blackstone continued their love affair with India real estate and invested more than USD 5.7 bn in the same period.

OUTLOOK 2020

In 2020, we expect the funding focus to remain on Grade A income-generating assets along with last-mile funding opportunit­ies in residentia­l projects. A few Japanese investors / corporates have been evaluating Indian real estate investment options and we can expect them to get into gear in 2020, along with pension and insurance funds.

These funds are inherently patient and come with longer investment tenures.

As such, they will play a significan­t role in providing the long-term solutions Indian developers now need. In fact, 2020 promises to be an actionpack­ed year for Indian real estate funding.

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