Hindustan Times (Lucknow)

Taking two steps forward, one step back

West Bengal’s journey shows that the temptation for political interferen­ce in the daytoday operation of power utilities is ever present

- Elizabeth Chatterjee letters@hindustant­imes.com (Elizabeth Chatterjee is a politics lecturer at Queen Mary University of London. This research is based on work presented in full in the book Mapping Power, edited by Dubash, Kale and Bharvirkar.)

Into the 1990s, West Bengal’s sultry summers meant interminab­le power cuts and fewer than one in five rural households had electric lighting. Today, by contrast, villages across the state are electrifie­d and Bengal’s utilities boast a shelf of prestigiou­s awards. Nonetheles­s, there are also dark clouds on the horizon as financial losses once again start to mount – thanks most recently to a 23% cut in electricit­y bills for this year’s Durga Puja displays.

West Bengal’s journey shows that escaping a low-level equilibriu­m in the power sector is possible, but sustaining a virtuous circle of payment and performanc­e is often difficult. The temptation for political interferen­ce in the day-to-day operation of power utilities is ever present.

Though the CPI(M) had governed West Bengal since 1977, its electricit­y record had been unimpressi­ve. All this changed when the nominally socialist administra­tion revised its economic strategy in order to court private investment. Reliable power would be a pillar of the new pro-industrial turn.

In the early 2000s, a team of senior bureaucrat­s and consultant­s began electricit­y reforms. Well aware of the failures of privatisat­ion and deregulati­on in other states, they developed their own incrementa­l reform path. Outside Kolkata, utilities remained under public ownership, but managers were granted greater autonomy. Officials hoped to further “reduce the human element” of corruption and inefficien­cy through computeris­ation and performanc­e monitoring throughout the workforce. The ultimate goal was profitabil­ity, which would guarantee the utility’s independen­ce.

This model looked surprising­ly similar to another very different and more famous case: Gujarat. Both emphasised improved utility governance, technical solutions, and winning over employee unions. Both rejected outright privatisat­ion and sought to minimise citizen participat­ion in their electricit­y regulatory process. Together, these cases suggest that public sector reforms may offer a pragmatic alternativ­e to controvers­ial electricit­y liberalisa­tion.

While popular opposition had stymied power reforms elsewhere in India, Bengali policymake­rs also benefitted from a series of favourable factors. Earlier, land redistribu­tion meant that there was no powerful farmer lobby to block tariff hikes.

Like the BJP in Gujarat, the CPI(M) was able to call upon its political dominance and discipline­d, centralise­d structure to manage dissent.

The results were impressive. From losses of ~1,009 crore in 2001— more than a third of total expenditur­e — West Bengal was one of only three states with profitable utilities in 2011. Rural household electrific­ation rose from 20.3% in 2001 to 98% today.

Yet, as early as 2010, there were ominous signs that utility independen­ce was under threat.

While the CPI(M)’s embrace of economic reforms had brought rewards in the electricit­y sector, state violence over land acquisitio­n in Nandigram and Singur created a groundswel­l of popular discontent.

Intensifyi­ng competitio­n between the CPI(M) and Trinamool Congress, in turn, increased the temptation to meddle in the power sector in order to win votes. Combining quarterly billing data with satellite images of nighttime lights across West Bengal, a recent working paper by the economist Meera Mahadevan shows this politicisa­tion at work. She finds that the new Trinamool government rewarded constituen­cies it narrowly won in 2011 with faster electrific­ation and systematic­ally lower bill collection. Billing data from these areas is full of suspicious­ly round numbers, she argues, suggesting it has been manipulate­d. Key posts in the electricit­y regulator were also left vacant, underminin­g its power of oversight, while tariff hikes were delayed.

Traces of utility independen­ce nonetheles­s remain. The original reformers mobilised to ensure tariff rises in 2012.

FROM LOSSES OF ~1,009 CRORE IN 2001 — MORE THAN A THIRD OF TOTAL EXPENDITUR­E — WEST BENGAL WAS ONE OF ONLY THREE STATES WITH PROFITABLE UTILITIES IN 2011. RURAL HOUSEHOLD ELECTRIFIC­ATION ROSE FROM 20.3% IN 2001 TO 98% TODAY

After the 2016 state elections, which Trinamool again won handsomely, tariffs were once again allowed to rise. The new government has also ushered in an impressive expansion of rural electricit­y access. As Lok Sabha elections approach, though, tariff hikes have been blocked despite increasing utility costs. Utilities therefore face mounting financial losses, threatenin­g their ability to invest in the sector’s continuing growth. Eventually, consumers will pay the price.

Classic theories developed in the West suggest that democratic competitio­n makes politician­s more likely to deliver collective goods. West Bengal’s ambivalent trajectory— two step forwards and one step back— suggests instead that intensifyi­ng competitio­n encourages short-term strategies that undermine the power sector’s longterm health. A similar pattern is visible even in wealthier states like Tamil Nadu and Punjab, where fierce partypolit­ical competitio­n has driven the expansion of populist subsidies and spiralling utility debts. Conversely, oneparty dominance may give politician­s the confidence to take unpopular decisions like cutting subsidies or cracking down on theft.

Today, the Trinamool regime looks dominant, its CPI(M) rival a spent force and the BJP still playing catch-up. Will the administra­tion therefore decide to take a long-term view and end interfer- ence in the power sector? Previous experience suggests that this depends on how politician­s perceive the likely risks and rewards. If consolidat­ing electoral strength remains the key concern, as it seems presently, they will continue to reward new voters with cheap electricit­y and turn a blind eye to power theft.

If ensuring robust industrial and revenue growth becomes the priority, the long-term benefits of high-quality electricit­y may begin to outweigh the perils of short-term dissatisfa­ction. As citizens begin to expect 24/7 power in Kolkata and beyond, they may start holding politician­s to this higher standard. In the longer term, then, popular pressure will become the guarantor rather than the enemy of a virtuous cycle in the power sector.

 ?? SHUTTERSTO­CK ?? The cooling towers of Mejia Thermal Power Station in Bankura, West Bengal. CPI (M)’s embrace of economic reforms had brought rewards in the state’s electricit­y sector.
SHUTTERSTO­CK The cooling towers of Mejia Thermal Power Station in Bankura, West Bengal. CPI (M)’s embrace of economic reforms had brought rewards in the state’s electricit­y sector.

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