WILL TRUDEAU HAVE THE LAST LAUGH?

"Wishing my friend @JustinTrudeau the best in Canada’s upcoming election."

- Barack Obama, Former US President

Canada will hold snap polls on September 20. Will Liberal leader Justin Trudeau win a third term as PM or will Conservative leader Eri O'Toole ruin his plans?

WHY SNAP POLLS?

PM Justin Trudeau of the Liberal Party called for snap elections in mid-August in order to turn his minority government into a majority one. General elections were originally slated for 2023. The PM has been running a minority govt since 2019 when he won the election, but didn’t manage the majority mark. His plan? To restore the days of 2015-19 when he led a majority govt

KEY PLAYERS

Justin Trudeau, Liberal Party Erin O’Toole, Conservative Party Yves-Francois Blanchet, Bloc Quebecois Jagmeet Singh, NDP Annamie Paul, Green Party

5 KEY ISSUES

● Pandemic control

● Housing price rise

● Indigenous people

● Child care measures

● Climate crisis

LIKELY OUTCOME?

Pre-poll surveys say Trudeau can only marginally defeat O’Toole, but the Liberals may yet again miss the majority mark and settle for a minority govt

WHAT POLLSTERS SAY

Ipsos poll has the Liberals and the Conservatives tied at 32%, with the left-leaning New Democrats in third at 21%. Trudeau has a slight lead over O’Toole as preferred PM, at 32% to 29%

338

Number of seats in House of Commons

170

Magic number required to secure majority

155

Seats held by PM Justin Trudeau’s Liberals

119

Seats held by main rival Erin O’Toole’s Conservatives