Odds getting even ahead of assembly elections

BIHAR Coming together of anti-Bharatiya Janata Party forces upsets power equations

PATNA: The sudden braking of the BJP bandwagon in Bihar, after the impressive gains in the Lok Sabha polls three months ago, has raised quite a few eyebrows in Bihar and the states that are scheduled to go to the polls in the next one year.

And the victory of the 27-dayold RJD-JD(U)-Congress ‘grand alliance’ in six of the 10 seats has proved one thing beyond doubt: Neither side needs to lose hope. For, the odds are already even for the 2015 Bihar assembly elections.

While BJP state president Mangal Pandey said the loss of two seats was marginal as the BJP alone fought against three formidable parties, an RJD spokesman claimed that with the secular vote having been protected, the opposition to the BJP-led NDA had created a level field in Bihar.

There are even the suspicion that the aggression of the voter in the Lok Sabha polls in favour of the BJP has somewhat run out of steam and the electorate seems to be back to basics — thinking more local than national.

It turned out that when it comes to a largely rural constituency, cunning caste configurations and intelligent candidate selection matter more. Plus, the woman voter is not so keen or free to vote in an atmosphere of rural orthodoxy. There are clear indications that the electorate assessed JD(U) leader Nitish Kumar on the basis of his local development agenda despite the overpowering presence of RJD’s Lalu Prasad. Kumar now emerges as the only face of the alliance for 2015.

Although Prasad has once again emerged as a mass leader, the fact that he will not be able to contest – as he’s a fodder scam convict -- cancelled out the fear of another bout of ‘jungle raj’. And that encouraged non-Yadavs to vote for his candidates.

For the Congress, it has finally been able to exorcise the ghost of the 1989 Bhagalpur riots by wresting the seat from the BJP, which had dominated the constituency for the past 28 years.

The Congress victory, however, was a gift from Prasad’s voters. Plus, the absence of BJP stalwart Shahnawaz Hussain also prevented a split in Muslim votes. The Congress won by about 19,000 votes in the constituency where Hussain had led by 33,000 votes during the Lok Sabha polls.

Another LS poll hero to bite the dust this time is LJP leader Ram Vilas Paswan. The Grand Alliance lost at Paswan’s home turf Hajipur by a thin margin and won convincingly at Parbatta and Mohiuddinnagar, which are Paswan-dominated areas.

Also, the BJP cannot claim the full credit for its Narkatiaganj victory as it was a personal legacy that helped its candidate, Rashmi Verma -- earlier touted as a JD(U) candidate. Verma could have won from any platform on the goodwill for her late husband, Alok Verma.

Now, as the Grand Alliance model could be adopted by others for the assembly polls, the BJP has to ensure that its rivals don’t get to unite and the lower castes don’t go back to their former icons. LALU ADMITTED IN MUMBAI HOSPITAL MUMBAI: Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) chief Lalu Prasad was on Monday admitted to the Asian Heart Institute after a check-up for ‘multiple heart conditions’. The doctors at the hospital said that the course of his treatment would be decided on Tuesday.