Hindustan Times (Patiala)

Biggest jump in new cases but recoveries hit 20,000

- Anonna Dutt letters@hindustant­imes.com ■

NEWDELHI: The number of people who have so far recovered after contractin­g the coronaviru­s disease (Covid-19) in the country crossed 20,000 on Sunday, with a recuperati­ng rate of 31.2%, or about one in every three patients, even as the number of infections of Sars-CoV-2 crossed 67,000.

Studies have shown that after recovery — globally, 35% of the total patients have so far recovered — nearly all people develop antibodies, which could give them protection against the infection. Public health experts have warned against the stigmatisa­tion of Covid-19 patients, even as research shows that about 80% of all patients across the world develop mild or no symptoms.

Of the 67,085 Covid-19 cases, at least 44,000 patients are undergoing treatment at various hospitals across the country. In the last 24 hours, 1,736 people were confirmed as recovered — the biggest jump so far — even as 4,370 fresh infections were added to the national tally, the highest single-day spike. The recovery rate on April 10 was 10.3%, improving to 31.2% in a month.

“The recovery rate shows that almost one-third of the infected persons have recovered in India. It is a positive sign as it is increasing by the day,” Lav Agarwal, joint secretary, Union health ministry, said recently.

The rate of increase of Covid-19 cases in the country has, however, increased over the past week, with the doubling rate, which stood at 11.5 on May 3, reducing to 10.6 on Sunday. The last 10,000 cases of the infection, which has halted life across continents, came in just three days in India.

The ratio of the number of Covid-19 cases recovering in relation to the number of people dying of the viral infection has shown improvemen­t.

Data collected from official bulletins from states shows the ratio to be 9:1 – for every 10 deaths, 90 people have recovered from the disease. In midApril, the ratio was 8:2.

“The increase in the recovery rate will go hand in glove with the increase in the number of cases for a while. That is because Covid-19 is a novel infection and it will spread till the population gets immunity against the virus. Now, as for how many people will get infected before there is herd immunity, the estimates vary from anywhere between 30% of the population to 70%. The reason for a high recovery rate is that 90% to 95% of the infections are either mild to moderately symptomati­c or asymptomat­ic,” said Dr Jugal Kishore of the Safdarjung Hospital.

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The Nehru Science Centre in Mumbai, now a Covid ward.
■ The Nehru Science Centre in Mumbai, now a Covid ward.

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