‘Normal’ monsoon i Aug, Sept, says IMD
India is likely to receive “normal monsoon rain” in August and September, the second half of the four-month rainfall season, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Monday.
“As per most parameters, we expect monsoon rains to be normal in August and September this year,” Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, director general of the IMD, told reporters on Monday.
Rainfall between 96% -104% of LPA is considered “normal”; between 90% and 96% is considered “below normal” and between 104% and 110% is considered “above normal” by IMD.
“Rainfall averaged over the country as a whole is most likely to be normal (94 to 106 per cent of LPA) in August,” Mohapatra added. The LPA for August from 1961 to 2010 is 258.1mm.
During August and September, “below normal” to “normal” rainfall is likely over many areas of the northwest, east and northeast India while “normal” to “above normal” rainfall is most likely over peninsular India and adjacent central India, IMD said in its monsoon forecast for the second half of the season released on Monday.
In August, “below normal” to “normal” rain is likely over many areas of central India and parts of northwest India while “normal”
to “above normal” rain is likely over most parts of peninsular India and northeast India, the IMD added.
July recorded a 7% deficiency in rain, with 26% deficiency over east and northeast India; 27% excess over south peninsula; 7% deficiency over northwest India and 7% deficiency over central India. June ended with 10% excess rain but a monsoon break of around 12 days from June 19 to July 11 led to a long dry spell in many parts of the country. After monsoon revived, extreme rainfall events, floods and landslides in Konkan and Madhya Maharashtra and in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand marked the July monsoon.
There were 567 stati July which reported heavy” rain in July of ab cm to 20.45 cm; 112 s reported “extremely hea of over 20.45cm. In th years, 2019 saw the highe ber of stations reporting rain including 753 s reporting “very heavy” r 161 stations reporting “ex heavy” rain.
La Niña approachin
IMD flagged that La Niñ tions are gradually likely around September and and could continue t