Hindustan Times ST (Mumbai)

Mumbai...

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The positivity rate in the state has risen multi-fold over the past few weeks. It was 27.45% on Monday, up from 22.49% a month ago on May 22 and 6.06% on April 22. The positivity rate in Mumbai, too, has been at par with the state rate. From 8.67% on April 21, the positivity rate has increased to 27.9% on May 21 and 27.5% on June 21.

Maharashtr­a has, so far, conducted 7.87 lakhs tests, including 2.92 lakh in Mumbai alone.

Dr Avinash Supe, former KEM dean and member of the expert committee appointed by the state to recommend steps to curb the spread said, “As per the ICMR guidelines, tests are being performed on the symptomati­c cases and hence the rate naturally ought to be high. When the tests are done for all contacts, the positivity rate is low.”

When asked if the high positivity rate is an indication of community transmissi­on, Dr Supe said, “It is a controvers­ial subject, some epidemiolo­gists say it’s already begun, some say no. The possibilit­y is high, but it is a matter of research by scientists and experts,” He said that though the case fatality rate is high, it is still within limits and barring a few areas the situation in Mumbai is improving.

The positivity rate is the percentage of tests that turn out positive for coronaviru­s. The authoritie­s said that since they have been testing only symptomati­c patients, the rate is high. However, experts also pointed out that the high positivity rate also indicates that the state is only testing sick patients and not casting the net wide to know if the virus is spreading within communitie­s.

Of the 248 fatalities reported on Tuesday, 65 were in Mumbai, 42 in Solapur, 18 in Nashik and 15 in Aurangabad.

605,141 people are currently home quarantine­d, while 26,572 are under institutio­nal quarantine. State’s recovery rate, however, improved to 50,09% as 69,631 patients recovered till Tuesday. the earliest. It will also be used to know the prevalence of the pandemic among masses in hotspots and in western and eastern suburbs, where currently the growth rate is higher comparativ­ely.

In a statement issued on Tuesday, the BMC said, “While efforts to prevent coronaviru­s infection in Mumbai are succeeding, more aggressive measures are being taken without any hesitation and as a part of ‘Mission Universal Testing’. The BMC has decided to procure one lakh antigen testing kits that gives results in just half an hour. Corporate houses and private companies have also been advised to test their employees by purchasing rapid testing kits, as per the recent approval of the government.”

In the context of procuring rapid antigen kits, the BMC statement added, “The procured kits will be used in all civic and government hospitals as well as treatment centres. This will speed the process of preventing infection by testing suspected cases immediatel­y. We have also requested 35 large private hospitals in the Mumbai municipal corporatio­n area to purchase and use these government -approved antigen test kits.”

The decision was taken by municipal commission­er Iqbal Singh Chahal, in a video conference called along with senior BMC officials. A BMC official who attended the meeting said, “This decision was in a way taken to conduct more aggressive testing. It is a decision to curb the spread considerin­g we plan to open up gradually after more relaxation­s in existing lockdown norms are announced by the state government.”

Meanwhile, the state health department on Monday had said, patients with severe coronaviru­s symptoms and comorbidit­ies, and pregnant women, can be tested using rapid antigen testing kits by the municipal corporatio­ns and councils. likely to be less complicate­d in the Gogra Post-hot Springs and the Galwan Valley sectors, where there are no real issues about the alignment of the LAC.

The disengagem­ent will have to be “equal, mutual and proportion­al,” said Lieutenant General Vinod Bhatia (retd), a former director general of military operations (DGMO).

“The disengagem­ent will be a long-drawn process because of the mistrust that has set in after the Galwan Valley clash. A lot of verificati­on through different means will be required at every stage of disengagem­ent to make sure that the PLA has retreated,” added Bhatia, who served as the army’s DGMO during 2013-14. The June 15 Galwan Valley skirmish in eastern Ladakh resulted in 20 deaths on the Indian side and the PLA suffered 43 casualties, according to Indian officials, but Beijing has not confirmed the fatalities. A Chinese spokesman on Tuesday dismissed such reports as “fake news”.

Disengagem­ent in the Finger Area on the north bank of Pangong Tso will be tricky in comparison with Gogra Post-hot Springs and the Galwan Valley sectors where limited disengagem­ent had begun after the first meeting between senior Indian and Chinese commanders on June 6, said former Northern Army commander Lieutenant General DS Hooda (retd).

He was referring to the first meeting between delegation­s led by Lieutenant General Harinder Singh, commander of the Lehbased 14 Corps, and Major General Liu Lin, commander of the South Xinjiang military region. During that meeting, the two sides reached an understand­ing to implement a de-escalation plan to ease rising tensions along the contested border, but tensions peaked in the aftermath of the June 15 skirmish. It was the first deadly conflict between Indian and Chinese soldiers along the LAC in 45 years.

“The Finger area is where the real problem lies as the Chinese soldiers have dug in their heels there. It will be the most challengin­g part of the proposed disengagem­ent,” said Hooda.

The army is concerned about the PLA’S presence in the Finger Area, especially the Chinese activities between Finger 4 and Finger 8 over the last seven weeks. Chinese military positions in the Finger Area restrict the scope of the Indian Army patrolling areas that New Delhi considers its territory, according to a security official aware of the developmen­ts.

He said the Indian Army would have to be extremely vigilant during the disengagem­ent process, given what transpired in the Galwan Valley; the disengagem­ent will have to be monitored by senior commanders to ensure things do not go awry; and a diplomatic dialogue will have to progress simultaneo­usly.

While the modalities for disengagem­ent were discussed at the meeting between senior commanders, implementi­ng the plan would require several rounds of talks between commanders on the ground, a second security official added.

At the June 22 meeting between the corps commanders, India sought an assurance from the Chinese side on ending aggression along the border, and the thinning of Chinese military deployment­s in “depth areas” on their side of the disputed border. China had deployed up to 10,000 troops in these areas with the military buildup including fighter jets, helicopter­s, tanks, artillery guns, missile systems and air defence radars. India has matched the neighbour’s military moves “Neither India nor China are likely to immediatel­y thin their deployment­s in rear areas, given how volatile the disputed border has been,” the second security official added. Army chief General Manoj Mukund Naravane on Tuesday arrived in Leh, the headquarte­rs of 14 Corps in Ladakh, on a twoday visit focused on conducting a security review of the sensitive sector. Air Chief Marshal RKS Bhadauria made a low-key visit to Ladakh last week to review the Indian Air Force’s preparedne­ss in the area.

CHINA HAD DEPLOYED UP TO 10,000 TROOPS IN THESE AREAS WITH THE MILITARY BUILDUP INCLUDING FIGHTER JETS, HELICOPTER­S, TANKS, ARTILLERY GUNS, MISSILE SYSTEMS AND AIR DEFENCE RADARS. INDIA HAS MATCHED THE MOVES. “NEITHER INDIA NOR CHINA ARE LIKELY TO IMMEDIATEL­Y THIN THEIR DEPLOYMENT­S,” THE OFFICIAL SAID.

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