Hindustan Times ST (Mumbai)

Maha records 54,022 new cases, 898 deaths

- Faisal Malik

MUMBAI: Maharashtr­a on Friday recorded 54,022 new Covid-19 cases, pushing the count to 4,996,758. The tally of active cases has now slightly increased to 654,788, as 37,386 recoveries were reported in a day. The toll is 74,413, with 898 deaths recorded on Friday.

Nashik reported the highest toll with 133 deaths. Nashik district recorded 102 deaths, while Nashik city reported 31 fatalities. It was followed by Mumbai with 71 deaths.

The surge in Covid-19 cases is yet to come down in Maharashtr­a, despite a lockdown imposed across the state since April 22. However, there is a slight improvemen­t in the number of average daily cases. While 59,647 cases were reported last month, it has reduced to 56,326 in the first week of May. This month, the maximum cases were reported on May 1 — 63,282.

Chief minister Uddhav Thackeray in a recent address said the state would have crossed one million active cases if lockdown wasn’t imposed.

“Going by the prediction­s made by the experts, the tally of active cases would have crossed the one million mark, but we have been able to contain the spread and we have restrained them under 700,000. It is because of the lockdown and restraint shown by people,” he said last Friday.

Dr Rahul Pandit, member of the state task force said, “The daily cases in the state are not increasing. Some of the districts that didn’t have a surge in cases until now are now recording more cases. The districts that had witnessed a surge in cases, for example, Mumbai, have started experienci­ng a decline. That’s the reason our average daily cases of the state are plateauing and not falling as expected.”

By the end of May, the situation in the state would be better than what it is today, he added.

Maharashtr­a’s effective reproducti­on number (R) for Covid-19, which indicates how fast the infection is spreading, has also declined to 1.29 from 1.45 from last week, according to an analysis prepared by the state health department.

For a pandemic to come to an end, the R-value has to be sustained under 1. This infection rate was recorded 0.36 in February when the second wave hit the state. By March, it rose to 1.33.

“Our situation would have gone out of hand if a lockdown was not imposed. As we can see, the daily cases have hit stability and by the end of this month or from the first week of June, we are expecting a gradual decline,” said a senior official from the state health department.

Officials also said there are many districts where the rise in daily cases is yet to stabilise. In addition, some districts are currently experienci­ng a surge in cases, as a result of which the average daily cases are not showing the expected decline. This is despite the daily average cases of Mumbai being less than 5,000.

These districts are Ratnagiri, Buldhana, Parbhani, Beed and Sindhudurg and their average weekly positivity rate (till May 4) was 3.18%, 2.83%, 2.67%, 2.64% and 2.60%, respective­ly.

On Friday, Mumbai clocked 3,040 cases and took the total cases to 671,125.

In the past 24 hours, the state tested 268,912 samples and had a positivity rate of 20.08%.

The overall positivity rate of the state stood at 17.27%.

IN THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE STATE TESTED 268,912 SAMPLES AND HAD A POSITIVITY RATE OF 20.08%

 ?? VIJAY BATE/HT PHOTO ?? Beneficiar­ies at the NESCO centre, Goregaon.
VIJAY BATE/HT PHOTO Beneficiar­ies at the NESCO centre, Goregaon.

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