The battles in the Congress
In Punjab, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and MP, the party tried different models. It isn’t working
Apolitical party is home to colliding ambitions. For the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the presence of an unchallenged national leader with electoral appeal, a history where no rebel has succeeded in causing a national-level split, and the presence of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh helps in resolving conflicts. But in a party where splits have benefited those exiting (think the Trinamool Congress, or YSR Congress Party in terms of parties; or Himanta Biswa Sarma, in terms of individuals), the leadership is seen as electorally incapable, organisational discipline is weak, the ability to dispense patronage is limited, and many down the political chain lack confidence in the party’s future, factional battles are harder to resolve. And that is the story of the Congress.
In Chhattisgarh, the Congress, after the 2018 elections, came up with a power-sharing formula — Bhupesh Baghel would be chief minister (CM) for two-and-a-half years, TS Singh Deo would take over for the rest of the term. Rahul Gandhi, reports say, is aware that such a promise was made; Mr Singh Deo, who has been loyal and competent, is now staking his claim. But Mr Baghel is a rare backward face of the party; removing him is hard to justify and may have costs. Or take Rajasthan. Sachin Pilot overreached with his rebellion last year. But the leadership assured him of space in the government and the party now, and leadership in the future. But CM Ashok Gehlot has no interest in meeting promises made in Delhi to his rival. In these cases, the leadership, faced with strong CMS, is finding it hard to enforce its promises.
In Punjab, the high command went against the wishes of CM Amarinder Singh and imposed a rebel, Navjot Singh Sidhu, as state president. But this has intensified internal battles, and the Congress is coming across as incapable of running its own party and the state. In Madhya Pradesh (MP), the party threw in its lot with the then CM Kamal Nath (and ex-cm Digvijaya Singh) and refused to listen to discontent articulated by Jyotiraditya Scindia, which led to the collapse of the government. All of this indicates that the Congress does not have a formula for conflict resolution — backing the incumbent (in MP) didn’t work, backing the rebel
(in Punjab) isn’t working, and keeping both the incumbent and rebel hanging (in Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh) isn’t productive either. Till the party finds a better internal resolution mechanism, it will continue to struggle politically.