WHY THE FUTURE OF E-MOBILITY SEEMS CLOUDED
With many buyers priced out of the new-car market, ever fewer people will be able to make the switch to electric vehicles
Electric vehicle prices are going up at a dizzying pace these days. Tesla raised prices by as much as $6,000 per car this week. In March, Rivian bumped up the ask on its battery-powered R1T pickup truck, while Ford hiked the sticker on the Mach-E.
Add it all up and an electric car now costs $61,000 on average, according to researcher Edmunds.com. That’s a lot of money when the average newvehicle price — across all cars — has inflated to $46,000. And yet the buyers keep coming.
But there’s an underlying problem here. More than half of Americans are already out of reach, which means EVs are affordable to a limited group of well-off buyers only. Some 30% of all new cars sold last year had a suggested retail price above $50,000, up from just 6% ten years ago, according to Charlie Chesbrough, a senior economist at Cox Automotive. With many buyers priced out of the new-car market, ever fewer people will be able to make the switch to electric and instead keep burning gasoline for years to come.
“It’s clearly a product for the upper crust,” Chesbrough said in an interview. “It’s going to be a long time before electric vehicles are the majority of cars on the road.”
Part of this is the natural evolution of new technology. EVs are still expensive to build. Ford, for example, is in the midst of launching the F-150 Lightning plug-in pickup and is spending $50 billion to roll out more EVs, with plans to build 2 million annually by 2026. Rising raw-materials costs are rendering some batterypowered models unprofitable, the carmaker’s CFO, John Lawler, said at an investor conference this week. He added that Ford is seeing an increase in auto loan delinquencies amid rising inflation and higher interest rates.
CEOs from General Motors, Ford, Toyota and Stellantis wrote to leaders in Congress this week to ask them to waive limits on the $7,500 federal tax credit. GM and Tesla have already maxed out the 200,000-vehicle cap on that programme, and Toyota is getting close. Given the growth in EV sales, other producers likely won’t be far behind.
Despite the recent surge in EV sales, automakers will need to sell to middle-class buyers both to reach cost-effective scale with batteries and to make a dent in carbon emissions. That will be tough with a $61,000 average sticker price. GM is the first to make a move. The company this month dropped the price of its Chevrolet Bolt and its slightly bigger cousin, the Bolt EUV, by $6,000, in part because its credits ran out. The bigger play comes next year, when the Chevrolet Blazer and Equinox go on sale for around $30,000. Both cars could change the game and the EV market.