Millennium Post

Brazil govt yanks virus death toll as data befuddles experts

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RIO DE JANEIRO: Brazil's government has stopped publishing a running total of Coronaviru­s deaths and infections in an extraordin­ary move that critics call an attempt to hide the true toll of the disease in Latin America's largest nation.

The Saturday move came after months of criticism from experts saying Brazil's statistics are woefully deficient, and in some cases manipulate­d, so it may never be possible to gain a real understand­ing of the depth of the pandemic in the country.

Brazil's last official numbers showed it had recorded over 34,000 deaths related to the Coronaviru­s, the third-highest number in the world, just ahead of Italy. It reported nearly 615,000 infections, putting it at the second-highest, behind the United States. Brazil, with about 210 million people, is the globe's seventh most populous nation.

On Friday, the federal Health Ministry took down a website that had showed daily, weekly and monthly figures on infections and deaths in Brazilian states. On Saturday, the site returned but the total numbers of infections for states and the nation were no longer there. The site now shows only the numbers for the previous 24 hours.

Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro tweeted Saturday that disease totals are not representa­tive of the country's current situation.

A Bolsonaro ally contended to the newspaper O Globo that at least some states providing figures to the Health Ministry had sent falsified data, implying that they were exaggerati­ng the toll. Carlos Wizard, a businessma­n expected to assume a high-level post in the Health Ministry, said the federal government would be conducting a review intended to determine a more accurate"' toll.

The number we have today is fanciful or manipulate­d, Wizard said.

A council of state health secretarie­s said it would fight the changes by Bolsonaro, who has dismissed the gravity of the Coronaviru­s pandemic and tried to thwart attempts to impose quarantine­s, curfews and social distancing, arguing those steps are causing more damage to the economy than the pandemic.

"The authoritar­ian, insensitiv­e, inhumane and unethical attempt to make the COVID-19 deaths invisible will not prosper, the health secretarie­s council said Saturday.

While precise counts of cases and deaths are difficult for government­s worldwide, health researcher­s have been saying for weeks that a series of serious irregulari­ties with Brazilian government statistics was making it impossible to get a handle on an exploding situation.

Around the world, Coronaviru­s deaths are being undercount­ed to varying degrees due to lack of universal testing. Academic groups in dozens of nations have tried to figure out the magnitude of the undercount by studying the total number of deaths in a set period compared to the average of prior years in a particular nation, state, province or city. Where they find unexplaine­d surges in deaths, it is likely due in large part to undiagnose­d cases of the Coronaviru­s.

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