Reliance may break-up with IPOS of Jio, retail business

NEW DELHI: After effectively turning debt free, Reliance Industries (RIL) may see IPOS of its flourishing telecom arm Jio and retail business segment, unlocking additional shareholder value, Bernstein Research said in a report on Wednesday.

RIL has raised $22.3 billion capital market through the sale of 24.7 per cent stake in Jio Platforms and $7 billion equity-raise.

“Following the rights issues and 24.7 per cent sell down in Jio, RIL is now effectively debt free. We expect a break-up of the company in the next threefour years through the IPO of Jio and retail business segment which should further unlock shareholder value,” the analyst said.

Looking at the balance sheet, Reliance has significantly improved its financial position following the transactions, it said, adding that the net debt to equity will fall significantly from 0.51x in FY20 to 0.06x in FY21 which is the lowest in almost a decade.

Given the $15 billion Aramco deal and free cash flow outlook in the next several years, net debt to equity could continue to fall beyond FY21, it said. Reliance is in talks with Aramco to sell a fifth of its $75 billion oil-to-chemical business.

“The key question is what will Reliance do with the significant cash position? We think the priority for now is to reduce other liabilities on the balance sheet such as deferred payments and provisions which total in excess of Rs 50,000 crore,” it said.

Given the company’s expansion into internet and retail, more investments including mergers and acquisitions seem highly likely, the brokerage said adding that refining and petchem could also see expansion with the Aramco partnership.

“Overall, we expect RIL will continue to invest in growth over returning cash to shareholders,” it said.

While earnings will soften in FY21 due to COVID-19, the brokerage believed that RIL is at the start of a secular growth period driven by telecom, retail and new economy related business.

“We estimate EBITDA for FY21 of Rs 86,000 crore, which is almost double what it was a few years ago,” it said.