The Asian Age

Ozone layer continues to deplete, researcher­s find

The study, published in the journal Atmospheri­c Chemistry and Physics, used satellite measuremen­ts spanning the last three decades together with advanced statistica­l methods. Ozone is formed in the stratosphe­re, mainly at altitudes above 30 kilometres in

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Geneva, Feb. 6: The ozone layer which protects life on Earth from high- energy radiation - has continued to thin over the last three decades, a study has warned.

In the 20th century, when excessive quantities of ozone- depleting chlorinate­d and brominated hydrocarbo­ns such as CFCs were released into the atmosphere, the ozone layer in the stratosphe­re, ie at altitudes of 15 to 50 kilometres thinned out globally.

The Montreal Protocol introduced a ban on these long- lasting substances in 1989. At the turn of the millennium, the loss of stratosphe­ric ozone seemed to have stopped. Until now, experts have expected that the global ozone layer would completely recover by the middle of the century.

However, a team led by researcher­s from ETH Zurich and the P hy si kali schMe te orologi sc hes Observator­ium Davos in Switzerlan­d have found that despite the ban on CFCs, the concentrat­ion of ozone in the lower part of the stratosphe­re has continued to decline at latitudes between 60 degree South and 60 degree North.

The study, published in the journal Atmospheri­c Chemistry and Physics, used satellite measuremen­ts spanning the last three decades together with advanced statistica­l methods.

Ozone is formed in the stratosphe­re, mainly at altitudes above 30 kilometres in the tropics. From

there it is distribute­d around the globe by atmospheri­c circulatio­n.

The scientists were somewhat surprised that the ozone is thinning out in the lower stratosphe­re because their models do not show this trend and CFCs continue to decline. Certain aspects of their findings are not completely unexpected, however.

“Thanks to the Montreal Protocol, ozone in the upper stratosphe­re ie above 30 kilometres has increased significan­tly since 1998, and the stratosphe­re is also recovering above the polar regions,” said William Ball,

researcher at ETH Zurich.

Despite these increases, measuremen­ts show that the total ozone column in the atmosphere has remained constant, which experts took as a sign that ozone levels in the lower stratosphe­re must have declined.

The reasons for the continuing decline are still unclear. However, researcher­s have two possible explanatio­ns.

On the one hand, climate change is modifying the pattern of atmospheri­c circulatio­n, moving air from the tropics faster and further in the polar direction, so that less ozone is formed.

On the other hand, very short- lived substances ( VSLSs) containing chlorine and bromine are on the rise, and could increasing­ly enter the lower stratosphe­re, for example as a result of more intense thundersto­rms.

Ozone- depleting VSLSs are partly of natural and partly of industrial origin; some are substitute­s for CFCs, and although they are less ozone- depleting, they are not neutral either.

“These short- lived substances could be an insufficie­ntly considered factor in the models,” said Ball.

— PTI

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