The Free Press Journal

Waiving farm loans is bad economics: Patel

The risk of fiscal slippages, which, by and large, can entail inflationa­ry spillovers, has risen with the announceme­nts of large farm loan waivers, says the Central Bank

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Even as several state government­s are struggling to come to grips with farmers’ agitations over farm loan waiver demand, the RBI on Wednesday said that such actions increase the risk of “slippages and contribute to inflation sooner or later”.

RBI Governor Urjit Patel said unless there is existing fiscal space in state budgets, government­s should avoid going down the “slippery path” of farm loan waivers.

“Past episodes have shown when there are significan­t fiscal slippages they do permeate through inflation sooner or later…So it is a path we need to tread very carefully before it gets out of hand,” Patel said.

The Reserve Bank on Wednesday left lending rates unchanged citing risks to inflation due to spurt in farm loan waivers by states but raised lending capacity of banks to support economic growth. The government has been pressing for a cut in interest rates to increase private investment and had sought a meeting with the members of the Monetary Policy Committee, but RBI Governor Urjit Patel said that all of them declined to meet. Senior officials of the Finance Ministry were scheduled to meet MPC members on June 1 and 2 but all six members decided against the meeting. Headed by Patel, MPC for the fourth straight time kept the repo rate unchanged, at which it lends to the banks, at 6.25 per cent. The reverse repo, at which RBI borrows, will be 6 per cent. "The decision of the MPC is consistent with a neutral stance of monetary policy in consonance with the objective of achieving the medium-term target for consumer price index (CPI) inflation of 4 per cent within a band of +/- 2 per cent, while supporting growth," RBI said in its second bimonthly monetary policy review for 2017-18. Five members were in favour of the monetary policy decision of maintainin­g the status quo, while Ravindra H Dholakia was not, it said. The central bank has however slashed the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) or the percentage of deposits that banks have to park in government securities, by 0.5 per cent to 20 per cent. The move is expected to raise buoyancy in the loans market as banks would have slightly higher funds for lending.

"The current state of the economy underscore­s the need to revive private investment, restore banking sector health and remove infrastruc­tural bottleneck­s. Monetary policy can play a more effective role only when these factors are in place,” it said.

RBI raised concerns over the possibilit­y of fiscal slippages due to the farm loan waivers. "The risk of fiscal slippages, which, by and large, can entail inflationa­ry spillovers, has risen with the announceme­nts of large farm loan waivers," it said. On the Gross Domestic project (GDP), the central bank lowered economic growth projection to 7.3 per cent for the current fiscal from 7.4 per cent earlier. The headline inflation has come down to 3 per cent for in April 2017, while demonetisa­tion continues to impact GDP growth which dipped to 6.1 per cent in the last quarter of the last fiscal. There is also greater clarity on the rainfall, with the IMD predicting for a normal monsoons this season which can help the food inflation situation.

The BSE benchmark Sensex slipped into negative territory for a brief period after the RBI kept key policy rates unchanged today, but re-entered the green zone towards the fag-end of the session. It closed with a gain of 80.72 points at 31,271.28.

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