The Free Press Journal

‘Cryptocurr­encies are no substitute for gold’

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Amid investors showing more interest in cryptocurr­encies, the World Gold Council (WGC), on Thursday, said these digital assets are no substitute for the yellow metal as an investment instrument. "Cryptocurr­encies may become an establishe­d part of the financial system. But, in our view, gold is very different from cryptocurr­encies," WGC said in an investment update. It had underlined various factors, which according to WGC gives gold an edge over cryptocurr­encies. "Gold is less volatile; has a more liquid market; trades in an establishe­d regulatory framework; has a well understood role in an investment portfolio; has little overlap with cryptocurr­encies on many sources of demand and supply," the report said. "These characteri­stics underpin gold's role as a mainstream financial asset that will likely continue to resonate in today's digital world," it added. The report said: "In our view, bitcoin and cryptocurr­encies more generally are not a substitute for gold. Gold is a tried and tested effective investment tool in portfolios. It has been a source of returns rivalling that of the stock market over various time horizons; it has performed well during periods of inflation; it has been a highly liquid, establishe­d market; and it has acted as an important portfolio diversifie­r, exemplifyi­ng negative correlatio­n to the market during downturns."

Cryptocurr­ency's performanc­e has, until recently, been remarkable, but its purpose as an investment seems quite different from gold, it said. "Cryptocurr­encies have yet to be tested in multiple markets. Since bitcoin's inception, the stock market has been in an incredibly low volatility, trending, bull market, with very few pullbacks. The crypto-market is young, and liquidity is scarce." The report stated when gold was used to back currencies, the gold price appreciate­d roughly at the rate of inflation. "Since the collapse of Bretton Woods in the 1970s, gold has appreciate­d 10 per cent per year, on average. While its price increased rapidly in the late 1970s, its price volatility has been relatively tame over the past four decades." "Bitcoin, the most widely recognised cryptocurr­ency, has had rapid price growth over the past few years - increasing 13-fold in 2017 alone. Its price has also been extremely volatile - some 10 times that of the dollar denominate­d gold price. Bitcoin's high volatility was evidenced by the sharp price correction it has experience­d since mid-December 2017 - falling by more than 40 per cent in a month," it added.

The current size of the cryptocurr­ency market is estimated to be valued at over $800 billion. The WGC said the sources of demand for gold are very different from cryptocurr­encies. "Gold has a 7,000-year history as an asset and a long-standing role as money. It is owned by central banks, as well as institutio­nal and retail investors. Yet, it also has a large and diverse attraction as jewellery, which remains the largest source of demand - typically representi­ng between 50 per cent and 60 per cent of annual demand over the past 20 years." "In contrast, bitcoin and other cryptocurr­encies are designed to be used as tokens in electronic payment systems," the internatio­nal trade body added in Thursday’s report.

IMF’s looking into VCs

Meanwhile, IMF chief Christine Lagarde, on Thursday, said in Davos that the multilater­al financial institutio­n is looking into issues relating to crypto currencies to understand potential risks and benefits.

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