LINGAYAT MLAs IN CONG, JD(S) MIFFED WITH TIEUP

There are reports that seven Congress MLAs, mostly Lingayats, and five JD(S) MLAs, are unhappy with the new alliance. The Lingayats have overwhelmingly voted for the BJP and the last thing they would like to see is a Vokaliga chief minister in Kumaraswamy. The Lingayats view Vokaligas as betrayers. Yeddyurappa is a tall Lingayat leader and the JD(S) had earlier betrayed him by rescinding a power sharing formula way back in 2007.

According to a power-sharing agreement between the BJP and the JD(S) in 2006, Kumaraswamy was to head the coalition government for the first 20 months followed by Yeddyurappa for the same period. However, at the last moment Kumaraswamy refused to relinquish his post. Yeddyurappa and his party then withdrew support to the government in 2007, leading to its collapse and subsequently President's rule was imposed in the state.

The Lingayats now see another betrayal in the making by the JD(S). The BJP has tapped the Lingayat MLAs in the Congress and disgruntled elements in the JD(S), prodding them to abstain from voting if the JD(S)-Congress combine indeed comes to power. Twelve short in numbers will pull down the JD(S)-Congress combine on the floor of the House.

The two parties can issue a whip. But if the disgruntled MLAs defy the whip, the two parties can recommend disqualification. If that happens, the seats would fall vacant forcing re-election. These are Lingayat MLAs and the BJP will, in all probability, make them their candidates in case of a reelection.

What also needs flagging here is that some JD(S) MLAs are upset at Kumaraswamy for stitching an alliance with Siddaramaiah who had promised to end the clan of the Gowdas. In his various election speeches, Siddarmaiah had spewed venom on Deve Gowda and Kumaraswamy and had, at one stage promised to give up politics if Kumaraswamy becomes the chief minister. In politics, ironies do not sink in.

All said, the Congress, full of factional leaders, will work overtime to give both the party and the JD(S) a tough time. Sources said that the Congress has prepared a laundry list for the JD(S) which includes deputy chief minister posts (2) and key portfolios of Home, Finance and Power.

What is also crucial is the way Siddaramaiah and his supporters react in the coming days. A bitter enemy of the JD(S) and the Gowda clan, Siddaramaiah will not give in that easily. Earlier in the day, in order to quell any doubts, the Congress pushed Siddaramaiah before the press where he said that the Congress will wholeheartedly and unconditionally support the JD(S) to form the next government. But Siddaramaiah's body language clearly betrayed his unease. He looked obviously upset and angry.

There is also the strange case of Rahul Gandhi. As a loser, his party has won by coming to power in Karnataka; as a winner, he has lost to his party's bitter enemy, the JD(S).

Will the BJP work some wonder? Senior RSS leader Ram Madhav was candid that with Amit Shah as the head, anything can happen.

Karnataka has a unique dish called the Bisi Belle Bath which is a strange mixture of improbable. Politics too is shaping up that way. Karnataka also has a famous saying: Swalpa adjust madi (somehow please adjust). This can happen in politics too. Interesting days ahead.