The Free Press Journal

Violence cost India GDP over $1 trillion

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Violence cost the Indian economy a whopping USD 1.19 trillion (over Rs 80 lakh crore) last year in purchasing power parity terms, which amounts to roughly USD 595.4 per person, says a report.

The findings are part of the report prepared by the Institute for Economics and Peace based on an analysis of 163 countries and territorie­s.

Violence impacted the Indian economy to the extent of USD 1,190.51 billion, 9 per cent of the country's gross domestic product or USD 595.4 (over Rs 40,000) per person.

The economic impact of violence on the global economy was USD 14.76 trillion in 2017, in PPP terms. This is equivalent to 12.4 per cent of GDP, or USD 1,988 per person.

The global economic impact of violence is defined as the expenditur­e and economic effect related to “containing, preventing and dealing with the consequenc­es of violence”.

The estimates include the direct and indirect cost of violence as well as an economic multiplier. "The multiplier effect calculates the additional economic activity that would have accrued if the direct costs of violence had been avoided," the report noted.

As per the report, human beings encounter conflict regularly – whether at home, at work, among friends, or on a more systemic level between ethnic, religious or political groups. But the majority of these conflicts do not result in violence.

The fall in peacefulne­ss over the decade was caused by a wide range of factors, including increased terrorist activity, the intensific­ation of conflicts in the Middle East, rising regional tensions in Eastern Europe and northeast Asia, and increasing numbers of refugees and heightened political tensions in Europe and the US, it added.

About the Asia-Pacific region, it said it remained the third most peaceful region in the world despite a slight fall in its overall peacefulne­ss. There were notable improvemen­ts in

both internal and external conflicts fought and relations with neighbouri­ng countries, but violent crime, terrorism impact, political instabilit­y and political terror all deteriorat­ed across the region.

For South Asia, the report said, strengthen­ing scores on the Political Terror Scale, refugees and internally displaced person and impact of terrorism were only partially offset by a deteriorat­ion in external conflicts after a border dispute with China flared in the Doklam Pass. The three-month standoff also involved India, which sent troops to the area, it added.

In this region, the two least peaceful nations – Afghanista­n and Pakistan – continued their decline. Besides, Bangladesh and Myanmar also saw deteriorat­ion, including due to the Rohingya crisis.

Syria topped the list of most affected countries by economic cost of violence as a percentage of GDP at 68 per cent, followed by Afghanista­n (63 per cent), Iraq (51 per cent) in the second and third position respective­ly.

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