The Free Press Journal

Climate change may increase risk of new infectious diseases

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Climate change will result in thousands of new viruses spread among animal species by 2070, and that's likely to increase the risk of emerging infectious diseases jumping from animals to humans, according to a new study. This is especially true for Africa and Asia, continents that have been hotspots for deadly disease spread from humans to animals or vice versa over the last several decades, including the flu, HIV, Ebola and coronaviru­s.

Researcher­s , who published their findings on Thursday in the journal Nature, used a model to examine how over 3,000 mammal species might migrate and share viruses over the next 50 years if the world warms by 2 degrees Celsius, which recent research shows is possible. They found that crossspeci­es virus spread will happen over 4,000 times among mammals alone. Birds and marine animals weren't included in the study.

Researcher­s said not all viruses will spread to humans or become pandemics the scale of the coronaviru­s, but the number of crossspeci­es viruses increases the risk of spread to humans.

The study highlights two global crises – climate change and infectious disease spread – as the world grapples with what to do about both. Previous research has looked at how deforestat­ion and extinction, and wildlife trade lead to animal-human disease spread, but there's less research about how climate change could influence this type of disease transmissi­on, the researcher­s said.

Meanwhile, experts on climate change and infectious disease agreed that a warming planet will likely lead to increased risk for the emergence of new viruses.

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