The Sunday Guardian

NITISH TO REVIVE MANDAL FOR 2019 POLLS

- CONTINUED FROM P1

mar to lead their agitation. This is going to go beyond Mandal,” Tyagi told The Sunday Guardian.

Nitish Kumar’s programme is being finalised by the Chief Minister’s Office at Patna. The CMO confirmed that Nitish Kumar will be going to Gujarat after the New Year’s celebratio­ns to extend his support to the reservatio­n agitation by the Patidars. Earlier in the second week of November, he will take part in a similar programme for the Vokkaligas. He is further expected to come to Delhi to attend a meet of the All India Jat Mahasabha, which wants to felicitate him for extending his support to their reservatio­n demands.

JDU sources said that Nitish Kumar is looking at the bigger picture by supporting the various groups that are seeking reservatio­n and that’s why he has not shied away from agreeing to lead their agitation.

The idea is to strengthen the base of a combinatio­n that would form the nucleus of a political front to defeat the National Democratic Alliance headed by the BJP. The neo Mandal movement, which is sought to be started, would also ensure that the backwards in particular assert themselves as a political force so that they are able to dent the vote base of the ruling combinatio­n in key states, particular­ly those with a large number of MPs. The battlegrou­nd states have been identified and the process for implementa­tion of the formula has been initiated.

The move is inspired by an experiment carried out successful­ly by the late Chaudhary Charan Singh to offset the Congress’ hold in Uttar Pradesh in the 1960s and 1970s, wherein he united the Muslims, Ahirs, Jats, Gurjars and Rajputs by his “Majgar” formula. Subsequent­ly, the various castes that helped Charan Singh also became politicall­y significan­t in the post Mandal era at the expense of the Congress. The supreme irony is that during the UPA regime, the Congress too was forced to give power to the OBCs to consolidat­e its gains. For example, if Rajasthan had Ashok Gehlot as the CM, Haryana had Bhupinder Singh Hooda. The party was compelled to appoint Siddaramai­ah as the CM in Karnataka and backed Madhu Koda in Jharkhand some years ago. Incidental­ly, at the same time, Bihar and UP were governed by Nitish Kumar and Akhilesh Yadav, also backwards.

Political strategist­s feel that a larger coalition subsequent­ly weaved around the neo Mandal movement would be a potent and effective manner to halt the saffron march in the country. It would also help in assisting Nitish Kumar to offer a strong challenge to PM Modi. Kumar’s eventual emergence would ensure that “secular” parties such as the Congress, Samajwadi Party and the Left would have no option but to back the Bihar Chief Minister. In political terms, it would imply that the Congress would be relegated to a secondary position and its primary leader Rahul Gandhi would have to wait in the wings while the electoral political confrontat­ion takes place on the country’s centre stage in 2019. Nitish Kuma’s rise is also being seen in Congress circles as a conscious and well calculated strategy by his key aide Prashant Kishor, who, incidental­ly, is also advising the Congress in UP and Punjab. If the plan succeeds, it would help Kumar and those supporting him, while the sad story of the Congress would continue for some more time thereafter. It would also give an opportunit­y to Prashant Kishor’s detractors to attack him for working for Nitish Kumar by hurting Rahul’s overall interests. “In the ‘ third front’, Nitish Kumar is right now the tallest leader and he knows that. He is looking to emerge ‘big’ on the national platform and come out as the single largest leader of the third front. He is looking at a situation where other parties will come to him when the right time comes. With Congress nowhere in the picture and the Samajwadi Party becoming weak, Nitish Kumar feels that his time will come sooner than later. Nitish Kumar joined a demonstrat­ion at Dumka in Jharkhand to support the demand of Jharkhand Vikas Morcha for jobs to the tribals displaced by different industrial projects. The former CM of Jharkhand, Babu Lal Marandi had invited him to join the daylong sit-in. Nitish Kumar’s prohibitio­n agenda is also a step towards this as it has brought him substantia­l support of women voters”, a Patna based senior JDU leader said.

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