The Sunday Guardian

‘SUKHOI LIKELY DOWNED BY CYBER WEAPONS’

Given the range of cyber interferen­ce, the source of the attack could have been from thousands of kilometres or from only a few hundred metres away.

- MADHAV NALAPAT NEW DELHI

Analysts based in the vicinity of New York and St Petersburg warn that the loss, days ago, of an advanced and mechanical­ly certified as safe, Sukhoi 30 fighter aircraft, close to the border with China may be the result of “cyber-interferen­ce with the onboard computers” in the cockpit. This may explain why even the pilots may have found it difficult to activate safety ejection mechanisms, once it became obvious that the aircraft was in serious trouble, as such mechanisms too could have been crippled by computer malfunctio­ns induced from an outside source. They point to the apparent loss of five Army vehicles, “due (according to the authoritie­s) to a misfired mortar strike” in the same zone, saying that a single mortar round would not have enough firepower to take out such a large number of vehicles. They add that the possibilit­ies are that the damage may have been caused by a larger projectile guided by electronic systems that may have been interfered with during flight. Given the range and complexity of cyber interferen­ce, the source of the attack could have been from thousands of kilometres or from only a few hundred metres away. These analysts warn that although India spends over Rs 200,000 crore on defence through the armed forces and another Rs 100,000 crore on security via police units, hardly Rs 4,700 crore gets spent on cyber capabil- ity. The analysts spoken to point out that almost all this gets expended on foreign vendors, rather than domestic producers. However, this reliance on foreign shores for defence and security is across the board, so far as capital expenditur­e is concerned, in contrast to China, which has almost entirely indigenise­d its capabiliti­es over the past 15 years.

The internatio­nal analysts spoken to, who are based in Russia and the United States, two of the four giants in the cyber field (the others be- ing Israel and China), point to the devastatin­g effect of the lightning shutdown of the Northern Power Grid on two separate occasions in August 2012. These were attributed by authoritie­s to an “overdrawin­g” of power by Uttar Pradesh, omitting to consider the fact that such excess power consumptio­n is routine, and that in the past, UP had withdrawn far more electricit­y from the grid than had been the case when it tripped. They say that it is probable that

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