The Sunday Guardian

Nasdaq in bear market, first of 3 major US indexes

The index finished the day down 21.9% from its 29 August record closing high.

- REUTERS

dexes to cross that threshold, with its drop in less than four months the latest sign that the bull market that began during the financial crisis a decade ago could be almost done.

Several other key indexes in recent days have confirmed they were in bear markets, among which are the Russell 2000 small-cap index and the Dow Jones transporta­tion average.

The S&P 500, the benchmark for US stocks, is not yet in a bear market, though more than 60% of its components are.

The S&P 500 is down 17.5% from its 20 September record high close, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 16.3% from its 3 October record.

The Nasdaq’s fall reflects a sharp move by investors away from what had been the market’s leaders—the so-called FAANG group of five favourite technology and internet stocks.

“It’s the old saying, the generals finally got hit,” said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial in Newark, New Jersey.

The latest round of selling, which on Friday dragged the Nasdaq down nearly 3% to its lowest closing level since August 2017, comes two days after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for a fourth time this year, as the US central bank continues to unwind the low interest-rate policy that supported stocks for nearly a decade.

Concerns of slowing economic growth have also led investors to flee stocks in high-valuation sectors such as technology and communicat­ion services.

In Nasdaq’s record-long bull market, which ended with its all-time-high close on 29 August, the index gained more than 539% from its post-financial-crisis low on 9 March, 2009. Including reinvested dividends, it delivered a total return of more than 611% in that time.

By contrast, in that same period, the S&P 500 .SPX gained just 331%, with a total return of 425%.

Even with the drop since late August, Nasdaq is nearly 400% above its March 2009 low, with a total return of more than 456%.

“Nasdaq is your more growth-oriented story, so the biggest stocks are driving the overall market because they’re a bigger chunk of it,” said Kim Forrest, senior portfolio manager at Fort Pitt Capital Group in Pittsburgh.

Past Nasdaq bear markets have lasted a long time and cut deeply. For instance, the Nasdaq fell 55.6% during its last bear market, which ran from 31 October, 2007, to 9 March, 2009. Some investors are not convinced the current bull market is over for the S&P 500. Many strategist­s still are forecastin­g the S&P 500 will end next year with modest gains.

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