How Martin O’Neill’s Midas touch has turned his Republic players into big game warriors

Republic’s habit of winning when it matters happens too often to be simple coincidence

HISTORY is written by the winners. Martin O’Neill knows that as well as anyone.

There was nothing inevitable about the Republic of Ireland’s 1-0 victory in Cardiff that secured them a shot at their first World Cup in 16 years. Say Joe Allen staggers back onto the pitch. Say James McClean slices his shot wide. Say Darren Randolph doesn’t quite get to Hal Robson-Kanu’s header. Suddenly Chris Coleman is the footballing genius, O’Neill the muesli-headed moron.

Yet sometimes, looking at the bigger picture obscures the bigger picture. The Republic’s competitive record in 2017 looks uninspiring on paper: two wins from six games. But they were the last two, the two that mattered. Two more and they will be rubbing shoulders with the world’s best in Russia.

And consistently, O’Neill’s side have come away from crunch games — Germany home and away, Bosnia home and away, Italy in Lille and now Wales in Cardiff — clutching the spoils. It has happened too often to be coincidental. So how has the manager done it?

Craig Bellamy said something interesting after the game. Bellamy worked with O’Neill at Celtic, and the picture he painted of O’Neill’s management style could scarcely be further removed from the maniacal, detail-soaked borderline-obsessive of the popular imagination.

“You won’t even see him,” Bellamy said. “There are times he turns up on a Friday. There were times I couldn’t tell you what formation we were playing on a Saturday. You’d just read the list, and basically I had to look at someone else and ask: what formation are we playing?

“There was no information whatsoever. But he knew his players. You knew where you stood with him, and if you played well for him, the confidence he’d give you and the way he’d make you feel, you just want to run even more for him.”

Last year I spent a little time with the Iceland manager Heimir Hallgrimsson — who has just achieved World Cup qualification for the first time in the country’s history — and his take on international management was that, by and large, it is about creating the right environment. The fine details, the meticulous preparation, the tactical and technical minutiae: all this happens weeks in advance.

“By the time the players arrive,” Hallgrimsson said, “most of your work is done.”

Likewise, Ulsterman O’Neill does not overload his players with instruction. So compact is the international window that there is barely the time to do so, at any rate. Instead he concentrates on a few simple messages aimed at generating the right emotional tenor.

“I always feel it’s better to let your words come naturally and from within,” he said last year. “If you start preparing too much, I think there’s a real danger of it coming across as contrived.”

In the Cardiff mixed zone, we probed in vain for some sort of insight into O’Neill’s tactical masterclass. Instead, we got the same vaguely uplifting platitudes.

“We mightn’t be the best team in the world,” said Daryl Murphy. “We might not have the best players. But you know that whoever’s next to you will give everything for the cause, for the shirt. Any time we have a big game, we always produce. It just runs through everyone.”

Perhaps the secret to O’Neill’s international management, then, is the lack of it. The Republic have not been afraid to play some downright ugly stuff at times. They scored fewer goals in qualification than Macedonia. But as Wales tried to finesse their way through in Cardiff on Monday night, their visitors espoused the virtues of a simple plan, ruthlessly and hungrily executed.

After the apathy and lethargy of the Trapattoni years, O’Neill has rebooted the emotional core of this Republic side.

“Listen, you’re a professional footballer,” Murphy said.

“The least you can do is run your heart out for 90 minutes. So if it’s one of those games where you’re chasing shadows, chasing lost causes, you just need one chance. One chance can change everything.”

The Republic are not there yet, of course. Next week’s playoff draw in Zurich will pit them against one of the big fish. Two enormous games lie ahead. But you suspect that for O’Neill and his side, that is exactly how they like it.