Belfast Telegraph

Political courage needed to make some hard decisions

- Esmond Birnie Esmond Birnie is a senior economist at Ulster University’s Economic Policy Centre

Yet more job losses. Yesterday’s announceme­nt regarding administra­tion of parts of the Lagan Constructi­on Group could place up to 200 jobs at risk.

This comes on top of job reductions announced relating to Schlumberg­er, WiS Administra­tion, Kilroot power station, Wrightbus, Acheson and Glover.

In total up to 900 jobs could be going. Especially for the families involved, this is a very bad start to 2018.

This spate of closures and redundanci­es comes against what had been a fairly good recent performanc­e in terms of jobs growth.

In the year to the autumn of 2017 total manufactur­ing em-

ployment actually grew by 7,000. Constructi­on jobs were also up last year — by 5%.

There was, admittedly, a marked slowdown in the growth of private services but that came after very rapid gains in 2016. The recent job losses need not imply that we are about to enter a recession but they may reflect a slowdown in the growth of the Northern Ireland economy which perhaps started as early as 2014-15.

Whatever the extent of Brexit uncertaint­y, stutters in the regional economy seem to have pre-dated the June 2016 referendum.

With its proportion­ally large state sector, the slowdown in growth in public sector employment is now acting as a drag on overall economic growth.

In terms of the private sector, the recent job announceme­nts demonstrat­e that even some world class companies with strong export sales are now struggling to maintain sales.

This will be even more true for the large number of Northern Ireland businesses which are further behind the internatio­nal performanc­e frontier.

How far would a return to devolved government help given that any form of uncertaint­y is not helpful and ‘no government’ is doing some reputation­al damage? It would be helpful to have local eyes on local policies but it would be no panacea.

Some very hard but necessary decisions may be necessary about economic policy. It remains to be seen if there is sufficient political courage to make those decisions such as raising tuition fees to help pay for universiti­es, increasing some other local charges to finance basic infrastruc­ture and re-balancing electricit­y charges between industry and households.

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 ?? PETER MORRISON ?? Left: Lagan Constructi­on Group headquarte­rs in Belfast. The company has gone into administra­tion, placing around 200 jobs at risk. Above: some of our recent headlines following job losses in the manufactur­ing industry across Northern Ireland
PETER MORRISON Left: Lagan Constructi­on Group headquarte­rs in Belfast. The company has gone into administra­tion, placing around 200 jobs at risk. Above: some of our recent headlines following job losses in the manufactur­ing industry across Northern Ireland
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