Irish Daily Mirror

DOUBLE HANDFUL

- John Shaw's racing betting column in associatio­n with

THE same oft-used phrases get trotted out when it comes to the Betfred Eider Chase at Newcastle — like “gruelling test” and “staminasap­ping marathon”. You can add “highly competitiv­e,” to that list, which of course is the polite way of saying it's bloody difficult to pick out the winner.

Some people even compare the race to a lottery, which is silly. The chances of winning the UK lotto is one in 14million. The chances of winning the Eider seem plenty more difficult than that.

I can't remember even backing a winner of the race, although in my defence I'm usually losing money at Kempton at this time of the year. And, besides, I can't remember much at my age anyway. I'm not saying I'm a senior citizen just yet but I have started to like the sound of accordion music.

Only three runners finished last week's Grand National Trial at Haydock and I could have probably overtaken all three in the run-in.

Only six of the 18 Eider starters completed last year, so to say you need to look for a horse who can stay is pretty much stating the obvious.

Chase The Spud was super impressive when getting up to beat Mysteree on the run-in when landing the Midlands Grand National last March. But his mark of 149 looks too harsh, particular­ly since a poor display in the Welsh National last time out.

Besides, after watching Blaklion struggle last week under a massive burden I'd rather side with a horse open to improvemen­t and carrying a low weight rather than a tried-andtested operator strapped to the hilt.

Given that no six-year-old has won this race in its 65-year history I can't plump for Back To The Thatch. Preference instead goes to Sue Smith's who won at today's track earlier this month and looks decent value at a double-digit price.

SMOOTH STEPPER,

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