Irish Daily Mirror

Russia set to escalate conflict

- BY CHRIS HUGHES Defence and Security Editor news@irishmirro­r.ie

VLADIMIR Putin believes he will win his war on Ukraine and will escalate the invasion despite horrific losses among Russian forces, experts fear.

As Ukraine reels from another wave of missiles attacks across the eastern front, an intelligen­ce assessment has concluded that Putin is not deterred by the supply of weapons from the West.

The report, seen exclusivel­y by the Mirror, says: “Despite Putin’s lack of progress, he shows no signs of intending to stop, find a way out, or make credible peace proposals.

“There are no grounds thinking that Putin will give up his intention to extinguish

Ukraine as a viable independen­t, democratic nation. In fact, there are all the signs that Putin will escalate the fighting on all fronts irrespecti­ve of what the West does.” Ukraine claims Russia has lost 128,420 troops so far.

And Kyiv now expects Moscow to “attempt something” to mark the first anniversar­y of the invasion on February 24, with Putin poised to deploy 300,000 new recruits as cannon fodder, and send a further half a million within months.

The report suggests Ukraine’s “tactical superiorit­y” is being “countered by Russia’s troop numbers and readiness to accept mass casualties”. It said scattered Russian victories were driven by Wagner mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin’s “political ambitions”, and opportunit­ies to make money by “looting” and “making deals in occupied territorie­s”.

But it warns an increase in Russian weapons supplies means by 2024 the West may face a “formidable Russian army”. Putin thinks his war can outlive support for Kyiv and the West will “cut and run as it did in Afghanista­n”.

“Putin continues to believe he can win by demonstrat­ing to Ukraine’s Western allies that Ukraine is more important to him than it is to them,” the report adds.

Russian missiles hit residentia­l areas in Kramatorsk for the second time in 24 hours yesterday as top EU officials held talks with the government in Kyiv.

There are no grounds for thinking Putin will give up his bid to extinguish Ukraine INTELLIGEN­CE ASSESSMENT ON WAR AGAINST UKRAINE

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